Do I ship it?

GamesSniperSniper + Sci-fi

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sci-fi Sniper game?

Sniper + Sci-fi

Only 9 developers shipped a Sci-fi Sniper game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Lia: Hacking Destiny, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 10 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 10 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sniper + Sci-fi
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 9
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $386 → $1.4k → $600 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sniper + Sci-fi: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 9
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $600 (exactly $600)
Top 25% $11k (exactly $11,327)
Top 5% $41k (exactly $41,372)
Developers, 2 yr 9
Released games 40
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 250% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sniper
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sci-fi
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sniper
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 4,186 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $11k, 1 in 20 over $41k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 10 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sniper with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ArcadeLong shot20 devs · median $300 · 14 announced
  2. + MilitaryPoor odds28 devs · median $3.0k · 38 announced
  3. + TacticalPoor odds22 devs · median $1.4k · 33 announced
  4. + Action-AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  5. + FPSPoor odds36 devs · median $899 · 57 announced
  6. + CombatPoor odds24 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  7. + Bullet TimePoor odds8 devs · median $899 · 6 announced
  8. + StealthPoor odds12 devs · median $779 · 22 announced
  9. + ShooterPoor odds55 devs · median $600 · 84 announced
  10. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $600 · 11 announced
  11. + ActionPoor odds69 devs · median $598 · 89 announced
  12. + PvEPoor odds11 devs · median $300 · 25 announced

All 36 pairs on the Sniper page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Ratz Instagib older $8.99 2,529 90% 76k $682k (exactly $682,071) Lino Slahuschek
The Signal From Tölva older $19.99 792 71% 24k $475k (exactly $474,962) Big Robot Ltd
MDK 2 older $19.99 219 81% 6.6k $131k (exactly $131,334) BioWare Corporation
Lia: Hacking Destiny $14.99 92 96% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Orube Game Studio
KILLRUN older $4.99 153 67% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) BULKHEAD
DeadCore Redux $14.99 46 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) 5 Bits Games
Alien Hallway 2 older $4.99 137 67% 4.1k $21k (exactly $20,509) Sigma Team Inc.
Freefall Tournament older $4.99 103 75% 3.1k $15k (exactly $15,419) y8.com
Gun Reflex VR $8.99 42 61% 1.3k $11k (exactly $11,327) OBGames
FPS Training older $4.99 73 65% 2.2k $11k (exactly $10,928) Drago Software
Nivoz Running Canned $7.99 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) morning glows
Tribots · EA $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) HEXRAY
Ether Core $10.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Cogetsu
Alien Raid $2.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 程进
STICKMAN DX : MEGA FIGHTERS $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) LITTLE Z
Stellar End $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) SZOKAgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.