Do I ship it?

Games › Action-Adventure › Action-Adventure + Sniper

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sniper Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Sniper

Only 15 developers shipped a Sniper Action-Adventure in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sniper Elite: Resistance, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $7.2M, ×11522 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 22 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Sniper
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.0k → $61k → $386 → $3.4k → $18k (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Sniper: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,538)
Top 5% $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 53
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sniper
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Sniper; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Shooter, FPS
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $49.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Gore
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $49.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 5,671 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $7.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  2. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  3. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  4. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  5. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  6. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  7. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  8. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  9. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  10. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  11. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  12. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sniper Elite 5 2022 · $37M Sniper Elite: Resistance 2025 · $7.2M Sniper Elite VR 2021 · $722k Oblivity - Find your perfect Sensitivity 2022 · $437k Crossfire: Sierra Squad 2023 · $431k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sniper Elite 5 older $49.99 24,818 83% 745k $37M (exactly $37,219,555) Rebellion
Sniper Elite: Resistance $49.99 4,825 75% 145k $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052) Rebellion
Sniper Elite VR older $29.99 803 56% 24k $722k (exactly $722,459) Just Add Water (Developments), Ltd.
Oblivity - Find your perfect Sensitivity older $9.99 1,457 81% 44k $437k (exactly $436,663) Poly Games
Crossfire: Sierra Squad older $29.99 479 73% 14k $431k (exactly $430,956) Smilegate
Sniper Killer $11.99 618 86% 19k $222k (exactly $222,295) Black Eyed Priest, Henry Hoare
MDK 2 older $19.99 219 81% 6.6k $131k (exactly $131,334) BioWare Corporation
Project Hunt older $24.99 155 88% 4.7k $116k (exactly $116,204) Mind Mythic
Artificial Extinction 2 $19.99 113 77% 3.4k $68k (exactly $67,766) 100Hr Games Inc
GW: Legacy older $15.99 128 61% 3.8k $61k (exactly $61,402) Alto Interactive
Red Tears: Angola · EA $14.99 39 84% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) Arun Haines
Gun Reflex VR $8.99 42 61% 1.3k $11k (exactly $11,327) OBGames
The Shape Killer - Sniper Game $4.99 23 86% 690 $3.4k (exactly $3,443) SouthBoxStudio
Nivoz Running Canned $7.99 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) morning glows
Midwinter Fan Remaster · EA $19.99 2 100% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Titanium Helix Games
Star Witch $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Frozen Dungeon
Math4TopDogs $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Mathsandcau

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.