Do I ship it?

Games › Sniper › Sniper + Stealth

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Sniper Stealth game?

Sniper + Stealth

Only 12 developers shipped a Sniper Stealth game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sniper Elite: Resistance, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $780, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $7.2M, ×11522 the market median. Revenue is up 105% on the market; 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 105% on the market, 22 announced, ×2.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Sniper + Stealth
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $748 → $43k → $779 → $4.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Sniper + Stealth: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $779 (exactly $779)
Top 25% $18k (exactly $17,538)
Top 5% $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 57
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 105% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Sniper
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Stealth
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Sniper, Stealth
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 4,992 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $780, 1 in 4 over $17k, 1 in 20 over $7.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 22 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Sniper with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Sci-fiFair9 devs · median $600 · 10 announced
  2. + ArcadeLong shot20 devs · median $300 · 14 announced
  3. + MilitaryPoor odds28 devs · median $3.0k · 38 announced
  4. + TacticalPoor odds22 devs · median $1.4k · 33 announced
  5. + Action-AdventurePoor odds15 devs · median $1.2k · 22 announced
  6. + FPSPoor odds36 devs · median $899 · 57 announced
  7. + CombatPoor odds24 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  8. + Bullet TimePoor odds8 devs · median $899 · 6 announced
  9. + ShooterPoor odds55 devs · median $600 · 84 announced
  10. + Gun CustomizationPoor odds10 devs · median $600 · 11 announced
  11. + ActionPoor odds69 devs · median $598 · 89 announced
  12. + PvEPoor odds11 devs · median $300 · 25 announced

All 36 pairs on the Sniper page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Sniper Elite 4 2017 · $98M Sniper Elite 5 2022 · $37M Sniper Elite 3 2014 · $19M Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 2021 · $15M Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2019 · $9.9M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sniper Elite 4 older $59.99 54,258 91% 1.6M $98M (exactly $97,648,123) Rebellion
Sniper Elite 5 older $49.99 24,818 83% 745k $37M (exactly $37,219,555) Rebellion
Sniper Elite 3 older $29.99 21,407 82% 642k $19M (exactly $19,259,878) Rebellion
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts 2 older $39.99 12,781 83% 383k $15M (exactly $15,333,366) CI Games
Sniper Ghost Warrior Contracts older $29.99 10,966 73% 329k $9.9M (exactly $9,866,110) CI Games
Sniper Ghost Warrior 3 older $19.99 15,133 67% 454k $9.1M (exactly $9,075,260) CI Games
Sniper Elite: Resistance $49.99 4,825 75% 145k $7.2M (exactly $7,236,052) Rebellion
Sniper: Ghost Warrior 2 older $9.99 13,694 75% 411k $4.1M (exactly $4,104,092) City Interactive
Sniper Elite V2 Remastered older $34.99 3,437 78% 103k $3.6M (exactly $3,607,819) Rebellion
Tactical Assault VR · EA older $19.99 3,375 77% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,023,987) HammerFire Interactive
Lia: Hacking Destiny $14.99 92 96% 2.8k $41k (exactly $41,372) Orube Game Studio
Red Tears: Angola · EA $14.99 39 84% 1.2k $18k (exactly $17,538) Arun Haines
MARKSMAN VR · EA $8.99 16 31% 480 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Crimson Gate
ShadowStrikeVR · EA $9.99 3 0% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Charming Game Studio
Virtual Sniper $12.99 2 0% 60 $779 (exactly $779) Revino Games
Tribots · EA $19.99 1 100% 30 $600 (exactly $600) HEXRAY
Kill Wilbo $1.99 10 100% 300 $597 (exactly $597) Void Chamber
Star Witch $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Frozen Dungeon
Turret Baffler $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Aceade Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.