Games › Shooter › Shooter + Visual Novel
Should I ship a Visual Novel Shooter?
Shooter + Visual Novel
Of 34 developers who shipped a Visual Novel Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×7.6 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $660; 1 in 20 cleared $84k, ×135 the market median. Revenue is up 50% on the market; 37 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $659 (exactly $659) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.8k (exactly $4,790) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $17,538) |
| Top 5% | $85k (exactly $84,515) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 34 |
| Released games | 139 |
| Announced | 37 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 50% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Shooter
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Shooter, Visual Novel; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Arcade, Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Pixel Graphics, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,299 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $660. 9 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Match 3Fair
- + SnowFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
Comparable games
魔女的夜宴 2023 · $10M 
Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet 2018 · $9.3M 
Mirror 2: Project X 2022 · EA · $6.6M 
Winter Memories 2024 · $6.2M 
Mirror 2018 · $4.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | 魔女的夜宴 | older | $34.99 | 9,664 98% | 290k | $10M (exactly $10,144,301) | YUZUSOFT |
| | Sword Art Online: Fatal Bullet | older | $19.99 | 15,461 79% | 464k | $9.3M (exactly $9,271,962) | Dimps Corporation |
| | Mirror 2: Project X | · EA older | $1.99 | 111,251 24% | 3.3M | $6.6M (exactly $6,641,685) | KAGAMI Ⅱ WORKs |
| | Winter Memories | older | $19.99 | 10,365 97% | 311k | $6.2M (exactly $6,215,890) | Dojin Otome |
| | Mirror | older | $1.99 | 72,623 96% | 2.2M | $4.3M (exactly $4,335,593) | KAGAMI WORKS |
 | To Be or Not to Be | older | $12.99 | 8,035 89% | 241k | $3.1M (exactly $3,131,240) | Team K |
 | Seed of the Dead: Sweet Home | older | $29.99 | 3,006 83% | 90k | $2.7M (exactly $2,704,498) | TeamKRAMA |
 | VR Kanojo / VRカノジョ | older | $49.99 | 1,767 76% | 53k | $2.6M (exactly $2,649,970) | ILLUSION |
 | Bishojo Mangekyo Kotowari to Meikyu no Shojo | older | $29.99 | 2,718 95% | 82k | $2.4M (exactly $2,445,385) | ωstar, Seikei Production |
 | Maitetsu:Pure Station | older | $24.99 | 3,151 96% | 95k | $2.4M (exactly $2,362,305) | Lose |
 | Swarm Bunker: Lust Defense | $9.99 | 386 88% | 12k | $116k (exactly $115,684) | 001Studio-NSFW | |
 | Maiden Cops | $9.99 | 282 87% | 8.5k | $85k (exactly $84,515) | Pippin Games | |
 | Miami Paradise 2 | $14.99 | 131 94% | 3.9k | $59k (exactly $58,911) | Entropy Digital Entertainment | |
 | Vilde | $15.99 | 87 74% | 2.6k | $42k (exactly $41,734) | Chaotic Minds | |
 | ULTRA0 | $9.99 | 89 96% | 2.7k | $27k (exactly $26,673) | PenGames | |
 | RANDOMAX | $9.99 | 67 92% | 2.0k | $20k (exactly $20,080) | ASTRO PORT | |
 | JOI Lab VR 🔞 / 自慰ラボ | $14.99 | 43 60% | 1.3k | $19k (exactly $19,337) | Caulino | |
 | Sexy Iron Maidens | $4.99 | 123 69% | 3.7k | $18k (exactly $18,413) | Earl Marx | |
 | Rhya's Crusade: The Aradia's Reavers | $14.99 | 39 66% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $17,538) | Black Fortress Games | |
 | Tokyo Underground Killer | $9.99 | 52 78% | 1.6k | $16k (exactly $15,584) | Phoenix Game Productions |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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