Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Tactical RPG

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Tactical RPG Shooter?

Shooter + Tactical RPG

Of 26 developers who shipped a Tactical RPG Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 76 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×443 the market median. Revenue is up 6230% on the market; 76 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 6230% on the market, 76 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Tactical RPG
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 26
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $750 → $1.2k → $1.2k → $1.2k → $1.5k → $3.6k → $5.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Tactical RPG: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 26
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Top 25% $8.2k (exactly $8,150)
Top 5% $278k (exactly $278,408)
Developers, 2 yr 26
Released games 108
Announced 76
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 6230% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Tactical RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Tactical RPG; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, 2D, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 2,155 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $8.1k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 76 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Scavland · EA $19.99 800 81% 24k $480k (exactly $479,760) NoShadow
The Shadow of Yidhra older $10.99 1,355 89% 41k $447k (exactly $446,744) WhitePeach
Trench Lord: Eastern Front $11.99 774 83% 23k $278k (exactly $278,408) Tracer Studio, LING YUN CO.,LTD.
Alien Shooter TD older $9.99 676 84% 20k $203k (exactly $202,597) Sigma Team Inc.
Brigand: Oaxaca older $9.99 551 94% 17k $165k (exactly $165,135) Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Sof… (Brian J. Lancaster, Laughing Coyote Software)
DIRECT CONTACT · EA older $14.99 328 31% 9.8k $148k (exactly $147,502) Mountain 81
War of Wizards older $19.99 140 70% 4.2k $84k (exactly $83,958) Arcane Miracle Entertainment
Prime & Load : 1776 older $7.99 313 76% 9.4k $75k (exactly $75,026) Radio Silence Entertainment
Silent North · EA $19.99 100 29% 3.0k $60k (exactly $59,970) Combat Waffle Studios
Deadrock Redemption 2 $14.99 123 86% 3.7k $55k (exactly $55,313) Entropy Digital Entertainment
MOCHI-O $4.99 231 99% 6.9k $35k (exactly $34,581) Zxima
Status One $14.99 30 73% 900 $13k (exactly $13,491) LastCall Studio
Demonslayer AKA Me $7.99 34 73% 1.0k $8.2k (exactly $8,150) 晶尘工作室
MagicCar of Delicious $9.99 26 76% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) YINGGUO GAME
Dust & Courage: Jake Bolton’s Journey $7.99 23 86% 690 $5.5k (exactly $5,513) Storyforge Games
Survalker $9.99 14 85% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Gamesforgames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.