Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Superhero

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Superhero Shooter?

Shooter + Superhero

Only 11 developers shipped a Superhero Shooter in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, STARVAULT VR, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.3k, ×0.9 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $49k, ×33 the market median. Revenue is up 1945% on the market; 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 1945% on the market, 28 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Superhero
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $599 → $1.3k → $3.3k → $3.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Superhero: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $299 (exactly $299)
Median $1.3k (exactly $1,347)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 5% $49k (exactly $49,480)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 71
Announced 28
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1945% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Superhero
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Shooter
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 206 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $1.3k, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $49k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Marvel's Guardians of the Galaxy older $59.99 35,397 93% 1.1M $64M (exactly $63,703,981) Eidos-Montréal
Suicide Squad: Kill the Justice League older $69.99 12,718 60% 382k $27M (exactly $26,703,985) Rocksteady Studios
Saints Row older $29.99 5,765 61% 173k $5.2M (exactly $5,186,770) Volition
Agents of Mayhem older $29.99 3,270 59% 98k $2.9M (exactly $2,942,019) Deep Silver Volition
Dread Templar older $19.99 1,096 82% 33k $657k (exactly $657,271) T19 Games
Commando Collection older $4.99 1,414 95% 42k $212k (exactly $211,676) Macrojoy
Superior: Vengeance older $16.99 106 77% 3.2k $54k (exactly $54,028) Drifter®
STARVAULT VR $24.99 66 89% 2.0k $49k (exactly $49,480) Theia Games
Time To Stop Time older $9.99 161 71% 4.8k $48k (exactly $48,252) Sicarius
Death Horizon: Reloaded older $19.99 76 80% 2.3k $46k (exactly $45,577) Horizon Lab LLP
QUADRICOLOR: Ultra Sentai Color Ranger $12.99 27 96% 810 $11k (exactly $10,522) Quadri Team
Kebabstar 🌯⭐ · EA $14.99 14 78% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Zeybek
Doom Survivor: Horde Rush $2.99 38 86% 1.1k $3.4k (exactly $3,409) Crazy Studio
Night Jackal: Blood Debt $2.99 37 78% 1.1k $3.3k (exactly $3,319) Nothing Rhymes With Entertainment
Big Trouble in Little Chimney $4.99 9 77% 270 $1.3k (exactly $1,347) FobTi interactive
WorldWatch: Superhero Bullet Heaven · EA $3.59 10 100% 300 $1.1k (exactly $1,077) Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game… (Moldy&Abet Games, Paper Dudes Game Studio)
Wima Magicamia Cute Girls Magic Battle 3DTPS $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) NoHitCreations
Lucky Pikinini - Advanced Killer Cyborg $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Lucky Pikinini
Ghost of Kyiv $2.04 1 100% 30 $61 (exactly $61) Jonald

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.