Do I ship it?

GamesShoot 'Em UpShoot 'Em Up + World War II

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a WWII Shoot 'Em Up?

Shoot 'Em Up + World War II

Only 7 developers shipped a WWII Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Blitzkrieg Express, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $150 against a market of $630. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 10 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shoot 'Em Up + World War II
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Shoot 'Em Up + World War II: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 5% $18k (exactly $18,114)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 42
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
World War II
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shoot 'Em Up
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 16,850 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $150, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $18k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 10 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shoot 'Em Up with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FaithFair13 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  2. + RomanceFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  4. + Quick-Time EventsFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair39 devs · median $628 · 36 announced
  6. + IdlerFair36 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair70 devs · median $599 · 54 announced
  8. + Resource ManagementFair26 devs · median $599 · 34 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair749 devs · median $419 · 783 announced
  10. + SwordplayLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  11. + MusicPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 12 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $8.1k · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Shoot 'Em Up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Guns, Gore and Cannoli 2 older $12.99 4,742 94% 142k $1.8M (exactly $1,847,957) Rogueside, Claeysbrothers
LUFTRAUSERS older $9.99 3,398 91% 102k $1.0M (exactly $1,018,381) Vlambeer
SEX with HITLER older $6.99 3,358 81% 101k $704k (exactly $704,173) Adolf Games
Multi Turret Academy · EA older $8.99 1,778 95% 53k $480k (exactly $479,527) Yulia Games
Commando Collection older $4.99 1,414 95% 42k $212k (exactly $211,676) Macrojoy
Aircraft Evolution older $8.99 221 80% 6.6k $60k (exactly $59,604) Satur Entertainment
HITLER: BDSM BUNKER older $9.99 164 81% 4.9k $49k (exactly $49,151) Adolf Games
Hitler is my crush older $0.99 1,560 92% 47k $46k (exactly $46,332) DarkLight Studio
Aces of the Luftwaffe - Squadron older $14.99 94 74% 2.8k $42k (exactly $42,272) HandyGames
Blitzkrieg Express $4.99 121 74% 3.6k $18k (exactly $18,114) Maksym Melnyk
Valor 1944 $9.99 14 92% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Sunroom Games
Bearplane $4.99 7 100% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Matthew Burton
CAMP Z: THE AWAKENING $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) FEAR NO EVIL GAMES LLC.
Soviet Tide Arising! $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Page Blue House
Turning The Tide $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Funky Monkey Games
Canyon Raid $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dad Does Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.