Do I ship it?

GamesShoot 'Em UpShoot 'Em Up + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Shoot 'Em Up?

Shoot 'Em Up + Supernatural

Only 15 developers shipped a Supernatural Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, BAROQUE SHOOTING: REVERSED, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 21 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $30 in the last 2 years and $150 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 4 / 10 build. 9 developers shipped in the last year and 21 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 260% on the market, 21 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shoot 'Em Up + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.1k → $0 → $30 → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shoot 'Em Up + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $30 (exactly $30)
Top 25% $150 (exactly $150)
Top 5% $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 48
Announced 21
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $2.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 260% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 23%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Shoot 'Em Up
Price point
$2.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 91% positive over 34 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $30, 1 in 4 over $150, 1 in 20 over $6.2k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 21 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shoot 'Em Up with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FaithFair13 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  2. + RomanceFair10 devs · median $1.5k · 7 announced
  3. + VampiresFair15 devs · median $1.3k · 7 announced
  4. + Quick-Time EventsFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  5. + IncrementalFair39 devs · median $628 · 36 announced
  6. + IdlerFair36 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  7. + Tower DefenseFair70 devs · median $599 · 54 announced
  8. + Resource ManagementFair26 devs · median $599 · 34 announced
  9. + ArcadeFair749 devs · median $419 · 783 announced
  10. + SwordplayLong shot13 devs · median $300 · 5 announced
  11. + MusicPoor odds12 devs · median $9.0k · 12 announced
  12. + LovecraftianPoor odds8 devs · median $8.1k · 20 announced

All 169 pairs on the Shoot 'Em Up page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Cemetery Warrior 4 older $29.99 87 68% 2.6k $78k (exactly $78,274) Falco Software, kazakovstudios
ARRIVAL: ZERO EARTH older $5.99 154 80% 4.6k $28k (exactly $27,674) jounitus
RESEARCH and DESTROY older $19.99 45 95% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Implausible Industries
The Dark Method · EA older $12.99 38 89% 1.1k $15k (exactly $14,809) Analog Joker LLC
A Quiver of Crows older $14.99 26 76% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) Sheado.net
Re.Surs older $7.99 38 76% 1.1k $9.1k (exactly $9,109) VidyGames
Coffin Rot Brewing Co. older $4.99 44 79% 1.3k $6.6k (exactly $6,587) Nooner Bear Studio LLC
BAROQUE SHOOTING: REVERSED $14.99 14 92% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Sting
Brave Rounds $14.99 12 100% 360 $5.4k (exactly $5,396) PlayShift Games
Swarm Survivor older $4.99 34 85% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) MegalOh! Games
Second Death $9.99 1 100% 30 $300 (exactly $300) David Hirosky
Tower Defense $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Taranau Aliaksei
KGT: Kevin Got Teleported · EA $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Marcel Klee
HillbillyHellfire $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Slagathor Studios
Slaughtra $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Iconoclast Operations
These Are Them $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) OugenSoft
Project Nightmare $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Cryo Sleep Studios
Helen in Hell $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Soined

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.