Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Strategy + Score Attack

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Score Attack Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Score Attack

Of 45 developers who shipped a Score Attack Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×349 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 65 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 80% on the market, 65 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Score Attack
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 45
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.3k → $838 → $2.4k → $535 → $210 (still earning) → $299 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Score Attack: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 45
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $535 (exactly $535)
Top 25% $7.6k (exactly $7,645)
Top 5% $219k (exactly $219,401)
Developers, 2 yr 45
Released games 83
Announced 65
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Score Attack
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy, Score Attack; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Roguelite, Roguelike
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Relaxing, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,575 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $540, 1 in 4 over $7.6k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 28 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ISLANDERS older $4.99 16,104 94% 483k $2.4M (exactly $2,410,769) Coatsink, GrizzlyGames, Stage Clear Stu… (Coatsink, GrizzlyGames, Stage Clear Studios)
ISLANDERS: New Shores $9.99 1,230 96% 37k $369k (exactly $368,631) The Station
Bingle Bingle $14.99 666 80% 20k $300k (exactly $299,500) Knitting Games
Kinny and the Cosmic Cauldron $12.99 563 85% 17k $219k (exactly $219,401) Kinnymoms
Dice Player One older $14.99 456 90% 14k $205k (exactly $205,063) KDream
Feed the Scorchpot $14.99 371 87% 11k $167k (exactly $166,839) Moravian
Dungeon Deathball older $11.99 193 95% 5.8k $69k (exactly $69,422) Matt Glanville
LOOTPLOT $6.99 221 94% 6.6k $46k (exactly $46,344) CodeTheory Ltd
Pip My Dice $10.99 134 87% 4.0k $44k (exactly $44,180) Diving Swan Games
Smash it Wild: Tactical Volleyball Roguelike $11.99 106 83% 3.2k $38k (exactly $38,128) Goblinz Studio, Ernestine
TypInc. $9.99 102 74% 3.1k $31k (exactly $30,569) Game Game Games
RoGlass $9.99 88 98% 2.6k $26k (exactly $26,374) James Castle
MY DIRECT DAMAG 7 TRILLION $2.99 94 71% 2.8k $8.4k (exactly $8,432) 真香工作室

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.