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Should I ship a Snow Runner?
Runner + Snow
Only 10 developers shipped a Snow Runner in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fresh Tracks, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 6 more are announced.
Verdict: dead, for a 4 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $120 against a market of $480. 6 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $30 (exactly $30) |
|---|---|
| Median | $119 (exactly $119) |
| Top 25% | $3.2k (exactly $3,224) |
| Top 5% | $40k (exactly $39,734) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 28 |
| Announced | 6 |
| Effort | 4 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $2.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 350% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
- Systems
- Runner
- Price point
- $2.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 7 games average 91% positive over 137 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 6 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Runner with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + LootFair
- + Local MultiplayerFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Visual NovelFair
- + Time AttackFair
- + FPSLong shot
- + 4 Player LocalPoor odds
- + MusicPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
- + Interactive FictionPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Alto Collection | older | $9.99 | 263 94% | 7.9k | $79k (exactly $78,821) | Land & Sea |
| | Fresh Tracks | $24.99 | 53 94% | 1.6k | $40k (exactly $39,734) | Buffalo Buffalo | |
| | Grapple League | older | $9.99 | 24 95% | 720 | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) | Rain Check Studios |
| | Riding Seas | older | $4.99 | 35 80% | 1.1k | $5.2k (exactly $5,240) | CatOnTree Studio |
| | Red Fox and the Four Seasons | $4.99 | 23 69% | 690 | $3.4k (exactly $3,443) | Boogygames Studios | |
| | Hypotheses on the Symmetry between Vision and Hands | $1.99 | 54 96% | 1.6k | $3.2k (exactly $3,224) | Finger tip | |
| | Games Advent Calendar - 25 Days - 25 Surprises | older | $14.99 | 6 0% | 180 | $2.7k (exactly $2,698) | Mindscape, Denda Games, Graphium Studio |
| | YetiFree | older | $4.99 | 15 100% | 450 | $2.2k (exactly $2,246) | Obliterated Entertainment |
| | Robosnow | older | $5.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $1.3k (exactly $1,258) | Vitok |
| | Lost Meow | older | $2.99 | 11 90% | 330 | $987 (exactly $987) | Sanya Laneev |
| | The Winter Adventurer | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Menace Gaming Studios | |
| | Car Soccer Simulator | · EA | $0.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $119 (exactly $119) | Kongratz |
| | Slide Faster | $1.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $60 (exactly $60) | Puzzle Drop Studio | |
| | Ice Run | $0.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $30 (exactly $30) | Levi Teixeira | |
| | Santa Gamepaper | $2.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Nadia JuM GameN | |
| | Christmas Drift - Delivery Simulator | $0.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | GLOBAL VISION SOLUTIONS SRL | |
| | SavingSanta | $5.00 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Ken Henson |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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