Do I ship it?

GamesRunnerRunner + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Interactive Fiction Runner?

Runner + Interactive Fiction

Only 10 developers shipped an Interactive Fiction Runner in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Fiendish Quest, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $840, ×1.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $6.8k, ×15 the market median. Revenue is up 15% on the market; 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 15% on the market, 16 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Runner + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.5k → $839 → $2.6k
Outcomes for Runner + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $839 (exactly $839)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,156)
Top 5% $6.9k (exactly $6,893)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 33
Announced 16
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 15% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Runner, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 81% positive over 66 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $840, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $6.8k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Runner with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + LootFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 10 announced
  2. + Local MultiplayerFair23 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced
  3. + PsychologicalFair14 devs · median $839 · 12 announced
  4. + IdlerFair16 devs · median $838 · 8 announced
  5. + Visual NovelFair12 devs · median $750 · 11 announced
  6. + Time AttackFair15 devs · median $599 · 10 announced
  7. + FPSLong shot39 devs · median $958 · 43 announced
  8. + 4 Player LocalPoor odds12 devs · median $2.4k · 16 announced
  9. + MusicPoor odds16 devs · median $1.2k · 20 announced
  10. + Co-opPoor odds38 devs · median $1.0k · 64 announced
  11. + Online Co-OpPoor odds40 devs · median $898 · 64 announced
  12. + ManagementPoor odds9 devs · median $802 · 9 announced

All 123 pairs on the Runner page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
[Chilla's Art] The Caregiver | 終焉介護 older $4.99 431 80% 13k $65k (exactly $64,521) Chilla's Art
Fiendish Quest $9.99 23 73% 690 $6.9k (exactly $6,893) オニチク屋!
MeiQi 2020 · EA older $18.99 11 45% 330 $6.3k (exactly $6,267) QZQ Studio
Saints and Sinners · EA older $6.99 22 63% 660 $4.6k (exactly $4,613) threeW
VR Run older $29.99 4 100% 120 $3.6k (exactly $3,599) Elvio Lujan
CosmoOdyssey 2: Comeback to origin older $1.99 59 94% 1.8k $3.5k (exactly $3,522) Brenntkopf Development
PIXEL DASH: Toast of Destiny $7.99 11 81% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Clover Lab.,inc.
Mr.Bottle and his dream older $2.99 26 76% 780 $2.3k (exactly $2,332) BeyondTheWind
Sales, Science & Spirits $5.99 12 100% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) Ufo Pizza Productions, Zero Point Games
Good Mourning older $2.99 21 90% 630 $1.9k (exactly $1,884) Platonic Partnership
Carpe Dino: Seize the Date $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Black Squirrels Studio Inc.
Do Not Fall $13.99 2 100% 60 $839 (exactly $839) After Life Studio
FORGIVE FOR EVER $5.99 3 66% 90 $539 (exactly $539) GENS-HEART STUDIO
Niut $3.00 2 50% 60 $180 (exactly $180) AF Works ®
Do Up $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Questich Studio
Apex Ascent $3.99 1 0% 30 $120 (exactly $120) Avenax
In The Vroms In Clones $1.59 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Lucas Jardeu

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.