Do I ship it?

Games › Shooter › Shooter + Runner

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Runner Shooter?

Shooter + Runner

Of 54 developers who shipped a Runner Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 25 developers shipped in the last year and 64 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 64 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Runner
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 54
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $1.3k → $238 → $238 → $987 → $60 → $479 (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Runner: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 54
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,575)
Top 5% $54k (exactly $54,414)
Developers, 2 yr 54
Released games 218
Announced 64
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 15% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Runner
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Runner; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, FPS
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 2,502 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.5k, 1 in 20 over $54k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 42 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 25 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

STRIDE 2022 · $1.2M Soda Crisis 2022 · $961k DeadCore 2014 · $475k ODDCORE 2026 · EA · $421k Nitro Express 2025 · $417k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
STRIDE older $19.99 1,975 79% 59k $1.2M (exactly $1,184,408) Joy Way
Soda Crisis older $10.99 2,915 93% 87k $961k (exactly $961,076) Team Soda
DeadCore older $9.99 1,584 85% 48k $475k (exactly $474,725) 5 Bits Games
ODDCORE · EA $12.99 1,080 96% 32k $421k (exactly $420,876) ODDCORP
Nitro Express $12.99 1,069 75% 32k $417k (exactly $416,589) Grayfax Software
pureya older $5.99 2,242 96% 67k $403k (exactly $402,887) Majorariatto
Espire 1: VR Operative older $19.99 381 54% 11k $228k (exactly $228,486) Digital Lode Immersive Media
Warstride Challenges older $19.99 242 89% 7.3k $145k (exactly $145,127) Dream Powered Games
Panoptic older $16.99 281 96% 8.4k $143k (exactly $143,226) Team Panoptes
I Hate Running Backwards older $14.99 188 71% 5.6k $85k (exactly $84,544) Binx Games, Croteam Incubator, Croteam
Hell of an Office $14.99 121 89% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) 43 Studios
JETRUNNER $9.99 118 96% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,365) Riddlebit Software
SPEEDSHOT $14.99 27 100% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) karmacode
Sheep Seeker $9.99 22 100% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG)
2 Bows 1 Arrow $6.99 28 100% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) SKL Games
Maniac Path 3 $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
SkyLeap $11.99 9 100% 270 $3.2k (exactly $3,237) XOCUS
Camelbirds $5.99 16 81% 480 $2.9k (exactly $2,875) 5Centov

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.