Do I ship it?

GamesStrategy RPGStrategy RPG + Robots

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Robots

Only 11 developers shipped a Robot Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus II, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $720; 1 in 20 cleared $2.5M, ×3989 the market median. Revenue is up 2785% on the market; 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue up 2785% on the market, 23 announced, ×3.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $11k → $719 → $27k (still earning) → $151k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $719 (exactly $719)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $151k (exactly $151,124)
Top 5% $2.5M (exactly $2,504,974)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 37
Announced 23
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2785% on the market, supply 75% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 62% positive over 3,590 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $720, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $150k, 1 in 20 over $2.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $720. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SD GUNDAM G GENERATION CROSS RAYS older $59.99 6,939 82% 208k $12M (exactly $12,488,118) TOM CREATE, 株式会社トムクリエイト
Super Robot Wars 30 older $59.99 5,608 85% 168k $10M (exactly $10,092,718) Bandai Namco Forge Digitals Inc.
Warhammer 40,000: Mechanicus II $39.99 2,088 53% 63k $2.5M (exactly $2,504,974) Bulwark Studios
ZeroSpace · EA $39.99 1,161 78% 35k $1.4M (exactly $1,392,852) Starlance Studios, Ironward
Crypto Mining Simulator older $4.99 1,419 65% 43k $212k (exactly $212,424) Satosha Nakamoti
Chaos Galaxy 2 older $19.99 304 82% 9.1k $182k (exactly $182,309) Han Zhiyu
Chaos Front $19.99 252 59% 7.6k $151k (exactly $151,124) Han Zhiyu
Relayer Advanced older $49.99 67 67% 2.0k $100k (exactly $100,480) DRAGAMI GAMES, LTD.
Theseus Protocol older $9.99 317 65% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,005) YueTang(Xiamen)
Deep Fringe · EA $19.99 45 88% 1.4k $27k (exactly $26,986) Bosoneon Studio
Puropu Defense Squad $9.99 28 57% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) PlayTogether Studio
TechGuardian: Territory Defense $7.99 7 14% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Apex Horizon
Nexus Wars · EA $24.99 1 0% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Ajion Arts
Crossed Commands: Collision · EA $7.99 3 100% 90 $719 (exactly $719) SlightQuartz
LANDED $5.99 4 100% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Delighted Games LLC
Gear Clash: Hero Unite $1.99 1 0% 30 $60 (exactly $60) SKYREACH INTERACTIVE

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.