Do I ship it?

GamesQuick-Time EventsQuick-Time Events + Supernatural

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Supernatural Quick-Time Events game?

Quick-Time Events + Supernatural

Of 25 developers who shipped a Supernatural Quick-Time Events game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×1.1 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $210k, ×462 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 32 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 10% on the market, 32 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Quick-Time Events + Supernatural
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $419 → $538 → $4.3k → $1.1k → $629 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Quick-Time Events + Supernatural: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $538 (exactly $538)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,554)
Top 5% $220k (exactly $219,527)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 41
Announced 32
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Supernatural
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Quick-Time Events; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 3,966 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $540, 1 in 4 over $4.5k, 1 in 20 over $210k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Quick-Time Events with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  2. + Shoot 'Em UpFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  3. + Life SimFair28 devs · median $958 · 33 announced
  4. + SimulationFair116 devs · median $748 · 133 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair15 devs · median $720 · 18 announced
  6. + Resource ManagementFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced
  7. + FlightFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  8. + AliensFair12 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  9. + SpaceFair16 devs · median $597 · 24 announced
  10. + Bullet TimeLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  11. + DemonsLong shot17 devs · median $300 · 22 announced
  12. + Bullet HellLong shot27 devs · median $239 · 25 announced

All 110 pairs on the Quick-Time Events page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 $59.99 2,879 83% 86k $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) CyberConnect2
The Dark Pictures Anthology: Little Hope older $19.99 7,202 74% 216k $4.3M (exactly $4,319,039) Supermassive Games
Fahrenheit: Indigo Prophecy Remastered older $9.99 6,743 79% 202k $2.0M (exactly $2,020,877) Quantic Dream, Aspyr Media (remastered… (Quantic Dream, Aspyr Media (remastered version))
The Occultist $29.99 244 74% 7.3k $220k (exactly $219,527) DALOAR
Angel Engine $7.99 303 80% 9.1k $73k (exactly $72,629) HMS Studios, Black Lantern Collective
KunKunNest $3.99 434 95% 13k $52k (exactly $51,950) JNTM, KunKunRoom, 鸡你太美
Paper Ghost Stories: Third Eye Open older $16.99 62 93% 1.9k $32k (exactly $31,601) Cellar Vault Games
Mad Experiments: Escape Room - Sanctuary $6.99 47 65% 1.4k $9.9k (exactly $9,856) PlayTogether Studio
They Are Coming! older $9.99 32 50% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Wild Pepper Games
Vesperis $13.99 19 47% 570 $8.0k (exactly $7,974) AbnerDev
恶魔的房间 The Demon's Room $7.99 19 63% 570 $4.6k (exactly $4,554) Shanghai Yunyong Culture Media Co., Ltd
EmyLiveShow: How To Write A Bestseller $8.99 16 81% 480 $4.3k (exactly $4,315) Team Emily
Digitalink $11.99 3 100% 90 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Metgan Games
King Quest $15.99 2 0% 60 $959 (exactly $959) slc studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.