Do I ship it?

GamesCollectathonCollectathon + Quick-Time Events

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Collectathon Quick-Time Events game?

Collectathon + Quick-Time Events

Only 15 developers shipped a Collectathon Quick-Time Events game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bugtopia, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.5 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 160% on the market; 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 160% on the market, 18 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Collectathon + Quick-Time Events
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $449 → $720 → $1.0k (still earning) → $1.6k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Collectathon + Quick-Time Events: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $720 (exactly $720)
Top 25% $5.4k (exactly $5,389)
Top 5% $156k (exactly $155,620)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 34
Announced 18
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 160% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Collectathon
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Collectathon, Quick-Time Events; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Creature Collector, Simulation, Idler
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $5.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Cozy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $5.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 1,072 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $720, 1 in 4 over $5.3k, 1 in 20 over $150k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Collectathon with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds33 devs · median $33k · 42 announced
  2. + CapitalismStrong odds76 devs · median $6.2k · 75 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair7 devs · median $14k · 8 announced
  4. + EconomyFair125 devs · median $3.8k · 151 announced
  5. + ManagementFair182 devs · median $3.5k · 230 announced
  6. + CrimeFair10 devs · median $3.4k · 14 announced
  7. + Level EditorFair15 devs · median $3.4k · 17 announced
  8. + Artificial IntelligenceFair46 devs · median $2.7k · 30 announced
  9. + SokobanFair12 devs · median $2.4k · 9 announced
  10. + MythologyFair18 devs · median $2.4k · 20 announced
  11. + UnderwaterFair37 devs · median $2.3k · 37 announced
  12. + Combat RacingFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced

All 178 pairs on the Collectathon page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Bugtopia $5.99 866 92% 26k $156k (exactly $155,620) Nocturnal Games
Rainbow Billy: The Curse of the Leviathan older $19.99 147 91% 4.4k $88k (exactly $88,156) ManaVoid Entertainment
Treasure Chest Clicker older $3.99 408 82% 12k $49k (exactly $48,838) Simon Eftestol
Mothkeep $4.99 83 96% 2.5k $12k (exactly $12,425) Ivette Schmidt
Foxen Island · EA older $8.99 22 81% 660 $5.9k (exactly $5,933) gamingyourway
Pocket Gecko $3.99 49 97% 1.5k $5.9k (exactly $5,865) riyotsa
Fish 'n Ships $4.99 36 97% 1.1k $5.4k (exactly $5,389) Squid Snooze Studio
The Way of Cooking older $7.99 12 91% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) 大连酷码星数字科技有限公司
Slimelon $3.99 13 100% 390 $1.6k (exactly $1,556) LeSaucier
Fish's Trip older $4.99 10 30% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Gamesforgames
Sleeping Dragon $19.99 2 100% 60 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) Vermillion Studios
Find My Buddy $6.99 5 100% 150 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) StoicQuest
SkateRPG $2.00 12 100% 360 $720 (exactly $720) Daniel Dante
The King Cat Clicker $2.99 5 100% 150 $449 (exactly $449) Ginger Cat Studios
Pepper Rush $6.99 1 100% 30 $210 (exactly $210) dalton_jose_oliveira, Felipe

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.