Do I ship it?

GamesStrategy RPGStrategy RPG + Puzzle Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Puzzle Platformer Strategy RPG?

Strategy RPG + Puzzle Platformer

Only 11 developers shipped a Puzzle Platformer Strategy RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Paper Bride 6 Nightmare, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $59 in the last 2 years and $60 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 6 developers shipped in the last year and 26 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 26 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Strategy RPG + Puzzle Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.0k → $179 → $11k → $59 → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Strategy RPG + Puzzle Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $59 (exactly $59)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,288)
Top 5% $111k (exactly $110,589)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 65
Announced 26
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Strategy RPG
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Puzzle Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Strategy RPG, Puzzle Platformer
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 8 games average 79% positive over 470 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $59, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Strategy RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair23 devs · median $4.7k · 26 announced
  2. + SwordplayFair22 devs · median $2.7k · 28 announced
  3. + Bullet HellFair40 devs · median $2.0k · 31 announced
  4. + EconomyFair95 devs · median $2.0k · 128 announced
  5. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair8 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  6. + ConspiracyFair19 devs · median $1.2k · 21 announced
  7. + Shop KeeperFair21 devs · median $987 · 25 announced
  8. + 2D PlatformerFair108 devs · median $479 · 113 announced
  9. + Point & ClickFair43 devs · median $450 · 47 announced
  10. + Turn-BasedPoor odds58 devs · median $63k · 76 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds30 devs · median $35k · 41 announced
  12. + 4XPoor odds15 devs · median $31k · 33 announced

All 158 pairs on the Strategy RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Paper Bride 5 Two Lifetimes older $9.99 606 84% 18k $182k (exactly $181,618) HeartBeat Plus
Paper Bride 6 Nightmare $9.99 369 81% 11k $111k (exactly $110,589) HeartBeat Plus
F-Rank hero story · EA older $10.99 71 90% 2.1k $23k (exactly $23,409) Funny game studio
烧尾宴 $8.99 52 75% 1.6k $14k (exactly $14,024) 有点正经
Winter Clothing $9.99 41 75% 1.2k $12k (exactly $12,288) 坤舆科技
Ruzar - The Dark Stones older $17.99 21 76% 630 $11k (exactly $11,334) Hammer Glass Studio Inc.
The Book Of Hiro older $2.99 121 56% 3.6k $11k (exactly $10,854) MingCang Studio
BobasQuest older $9.99 26 88% 780 $7.8k (exactly $7,792) Gamesforgames
The Mythical City 3 older $19.99 10 100% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Gamesforgames
Kanji Industry · EA older $6.99 26 92% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) Tsune Studio
MandarinMastermind · EA $6.99 1 0% 30 $210 (exactly $210) J.Chen
River of Time Yarn $0.99 2 100% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Little Studio
谜境·AI剧本杀互动剧场 $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) 灵思AI工作室
Save stray cats $0.99 2 0% 60 $59 (exactly $59) stray cat
外卖李水 $0.99 1 100% 30 $30 (exactly $30) a Changfen
Liar's Game $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 林某人游戏工作室
Integral Survival $1.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Dalmo Mendonça

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.