Do I ship it?

Games › Social Deduction › Social Deduction + Psychological

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Psychological Social Deduction game?

Social Deduction + Psychological

Of 25 developers who shipped a Psychological Social Deduction game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 34 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $4.8k, ×3.2 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $1.2k. Revenue is up 185% on the market; 34 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 185% on the market, 34 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Social Deduction + Psychological
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $21k → $4.0k → $5.7k → $21k → $13k (still earning) → $7.7k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Social Deduction + Psychological: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Median $4.8k (exactly $4,795)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,649)
Top 5% $697k (exactly $696,503)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 58
Announced 34
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 185% on the market, supply 155% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Social Deduction
effort 7 / 10 · low · online lobbies, voice or chat, live player base
Psychological
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
Social Deduction; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Survival, Co-op
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cartoon, Funny, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 8,982 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.2k, median $4.8k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $690k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.2k. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 34 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Social Deduction with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SurvivalFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  2. + SimulationFair14 devs · median $1.5k · 25 announced
  3. + PuzzleLong shot15 devs · median $899 · 22 announced
  4. + Board GameLong shot13 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  5. + Survival HorrorPoor odds14 devs · median $18k · 17 announced
  6. + HorrorPoor odds22 devs · median $10k · 35 announced
  7. + AdventurePoor odds16 devs · median $6.6k · 23 announced
  8. + Character CustomizationPoor odds15 devs · median $4.0k · 32 announced
  9. + PvPPoor odds77 devs · median $2.2k · 134 announced
  10. + RPGPoor odds15 devs · median $2.2k · 25 announced
  11. + ActionPoor odds46 devs · median $1.7k · 81 announced
  12. + Online Co-OpPoor odds61 devs · median $1.5k · 102 announced

All 21 pairs on the Social Deduction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Among Us 2018 · $99M GNOSIA 2022 · $3.6M Feign 2025 · $789k Among Us 3D: VR 2022 · $734k DEATH NOTE Killer Within 2024 · $697k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Among Us older $4.99 659,003 92% 20M $99M (exactly $98,652,749) Innersloth
GNOSIA older $24.99 4,855 93% 146k $3.6M (exactly $3,639,794) Petit Depotto
Feign $4.99 5,270 91% 158k $789k (exactly $788,919) Teneke Kafalar
Among Us 3D: VR older $9.99 2,449 75% 73k $734k (exactly $733,965) Schell Games, Innersloth, Robot Teddy
DEATH NOTE Killer Within $9.99 2,324 84% 70k $697k (exactly $696,503) Grounding Inc.
Project Planet - Earth vs Humanity older $24.99 361 78% 11k $271k (exactly $270,642) Fifth Harbour Studios
It Has My Face $9.99 608 88% 18k $182k (exactly $182,218) NightByte Games
Yokai Landlord: Monster Mystery! $17.99 120 81% 3.6k $65k (exactly $64,764) Shadow Glove
Stowaway · EA older $4.99 428 74% 13k $64k (exactly $64,072) Sandstorm Studios Inc.
WISE GUYS · EA $8.99 194 90% 5.8k $52k (exactly $52,322) StonieDude
Cut That Wire $6.99 243 84% 7.3k $51k (exactly $50,957) WakaStudio
3DMurderMystery TheAshenYou $18.99 38 73% 1.1k $22k (exactly $21,649) ぐだぐだぶとん
Villainy $7.99 88 94% 2.6k $21k (exactly $21,094) Studio Rend
OCTOPinbs $9.99 45 68% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) tri-Ace, Lasengle Inc.
diffiCULT · EA $4.99 52 94% 1.6k $7.8k (exactly $7,784) Ouz Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.