Games › Social Deduction › Social Deduction + Adventure
Should I ship an Adventure Social Deduction game?
Social Deduction + Adventure
Only 16 developers shipped an Adventure Social Deduction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sinister Night 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.6k, ×4.4 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $530k, ×360 the market median. Revenue is down 80% on the market; 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $479 (exactly $479) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.6k (exactly $6,584) |
| Top 25% | $65k (exactly $64,764) |
| Top 5% | $539k (exactly $539,460) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 16 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 80% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Social Deduction
- effort 7 / 10 · low · online lobbies, voice or chat, live player base
- Adventure
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Social Deduction, Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 3,849 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Social Deduction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SurvivalFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + SimulationFair
- + PuzzleLong shot
- + Board GameLong shot
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
Project Winter 2019 · $4.1M 
GNOSIA 2022 · $3.6M 
In Silence 2021 · $2.8M 
Sinister Night 2 2025 · $539k 
Castaway Paradise - live among the animals 2015 · $201k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Project Winter | older | $9.99 | 13,662 84% | 410k | $4.1M (exactly $4,094,501) | Other Ocean Interactive |
| | GNOSIA | older | $24.99 | 4,855 93% | 146k | $3.6M (exactly $3,639,794) | Petit Depotto |
| | In Silence | older | $9.99 | 9,450 75% | 284k | $2.8M (exactly $2,832,165) | Ravenhood Games |
| | Sinister Night 2 | $9.99 | 1,800 86% | 54k | $539k (exactly $539,460) | Bug Inventors | |
| | Castaway Paradise - live among the animals | older | $14.99 | 447 71% | 13k | $201k (exactly $201,016) | Stolen Couch Games |
 | BACKROOMS: APPREHENSION | $2.99 | 1,371 83% | 41k | $123k (exactly $122,979) | DMNT Interactive | |
 | Cursed Companions | $8.99 | 345 79% | 10k | $93k (exactly $93,046) | Crimson Forge Studios | |
 | Yokai Landlord: Monster Mystery! | $17.99 | 120 81% | 3.6k | $65k (exactly $64,764) | Shadow Glove | |
 | Among Waifus 18+ | older | $6.99 | 241 58% | 7.2k | $51k (exactly $50,538) | Romantic Room |
 | Sinister Night | older | $9.99 | 130 63% | 3.9k | $39k (exactly $38,961) | zstar |
 | DreadHaunt | $19.99 | 39 64% | 1.2k | $23k (exactly $23,388) | Digital Happiness | |
 | 3DMurderMystery TheAshenYou | $18.99 | 38 73% | 1.1k | $22k (exactly $21,649) | ぐだぐだぶとん | |
 | Who Do Voodoo | · EA | $5.99 | 44 100% | 1.3k | $7.9k (exactly $7,907) | Kuixo |
 | PENTALOOP -ペンタループ- | $3.99 | 55 72% | 1.7k | $6.6k (exactly $6,584) | イバラユーギ×ひろゆ～プロジェクト | |
 | Grim Pastures | · EA | $3.99 | 25 96% | 750 | $3.0k (exactly $2,992) | 7hgamestudio |
 | Silly Suspects | · EA | $7.99 | 12 75% | 360 | $2.9k (exactly $2,876) | Classy Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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