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Should I ship a Board Game Social Deduction game?
Social Deduction + Board Game
Only 13 developers shipped a Board Game Social Deduction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Cut That Wire, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced.
Verdict: long shot, for a 7 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $900, ×0.6 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, but 1 in 20 cleared $50k, ×34 the market median. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 14 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $449 (exactly $449) |
|---|---|
| Median | $899 (exactly $899) |
| Top 25% | $14k (exactly $14,469) |
| Top 5% | $51k (exactly $50,957) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 30 |
| Announced | 14 |
| Effort | 7 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 450% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Social Deduction
- effort 7 / 10 · low · online lobbies, voice or chat, live player base
- Board Game
- effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
- Systems
- Social Deduction, Board Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Online Co-Op, Survival
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $8.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Dialogue Heavy, Funny, 2D
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $8.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 88% positive over 691 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. 14 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Social Deduction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + SurvivalFair
- + PsychologicalFair
- + SimulationFair
- + PuzzleLong shot
- + Survival HorrorPoor odds
- + HorrorPoor odds
- + AdventurePoor odds
- + Character CustomizationPoor odds
- + PvPPoor odds
- + RPGPoor odds
- + ActionPoor odds
- + Online Co-OpPoor odds
Comparable games
The Jackbox Party Pack 6 2019 · $2.1M 
A Game of Thrones: The Board Game - Digital Edition 2020 · $1.0M 
Agrou 2020 · $339k 
Project Planet - Earth vs Humanity 2023 · $271k 
Cut That Wire 2025 · $51k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Jackbox Party Pack 6 | older | $29.99 | 2,343 95% | 70k | $2.1M (exactly $2,107,997) | Jackbox Games, Inc. |
| | A Game of Thrones: The Board Game - Digital Edition | older | $19.99 | 1,705 71% | 51k | $1.0M (exactly $1,022,488) | Dire Wolf |
| | Agrou | older | $4.99 | 2,267 86% | 68k | $339k (exactly $339,370) | Osmose Studio |
| | Project Planet - Earth vs Humanity | older | $24.99 | 361 78% | 11k | $271k (exactly $270,642) | Fifth Harbour Studios |
| | Cut That Wire | $6.99 | 243 84% | 7.3k | $51k (exactly $50,957) | WakaStudio | |
 | Paper Pirates | older | $12.99 | 115 91% | 3.5k | $45k (exactly $44,816) | Iteration Games |
 | Deadly Trick | · EA | $8.99 | 141 95% | 4.2k | $38k (exactly $38,028) | Finalblow Co. |
 | Trust No Bunny | older | $5.99 | 109 93% | 3.3k | $20k (exactly $19,587) | Friendly Pixel, Inc. |
 | Who's Next? | $4.99 | 123 87% | 3.7k | $18k (exactly $18,413) | HellAssociation | |
 | Cheater's Table | · EA | $6.99 | 69 95% | 2.1k | $14k (exactly $14,469) | Lagari |
 | Forest of Deceit | $9.99 | 35 100% | 1.1k | $10k (exactly $10,490) | Ghost Camp | |
 | PENTALOOP -ペンタループ- | $3.99 | 55 72% | 1.7k | $6.6k (exactly $6,584) | イバラユーギ×ひろゆ～プロジェクト | |
 | Republic of Jungle | $14.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | Gerdoo Games | |
 | Feed The Gods | $4.99 | 4 100% | 120 | $599 (exactly $599) | TedRed | |
 | STAB! | · EA | $0.99 | 16 100% | 480 | $475 (exactly $475) | mightyraccoon! Studios |
 | BL Werewolf:Doki-Doki Summer vacation | $4.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $449 (exactly $449) | 物部モノ子, 星守れんげ |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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