Do I ship it?

GamesSurvivalSurvival + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Survival game?

Survival + Precision Platformer

Of 35 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Survival game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360 in the last 2 years and $270 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 24 developers shipped in the last year and 28 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 30% on the market, 28 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Survival + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $356 → $180 → $955 → $356 → $269 → $718 → $719 (still earning) → $30 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Survival + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $60 (exactly $60)
Median $356 (exactly $356)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 5% $12k (exactly $11,696)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 120
Announced 28
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 30% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Survival, Precision Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Stylized, Linear
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 542 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $60, median $360, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $11k.

3 in 10 developers made under $60. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 24 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Survival with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds14 devs · median $74k · 10 announced
  2. + Social DeductionFair31 devs · median $6.2k · 35 announced
  3. + Word GameFair22 devs · median $2.1k · 29 announced
  4. + CatsFair33 devs · median $1.2k · 34 announced
  5. + CollectathonFair77 devs · median $1.0k · 84 announced
  6. + IdlerFair96 devs · median $836 · 99 announced
  7. + Auto BattlerFair79 devs · median $807 · 90 announced
  8. + IncrementalFair101 devs · median $599 · 130 announced
  9. + DogsFair20 devs · median $535 · 19 announced
  10. + Martial ArtsLong shot19 devs · median $419 · 17 announced
  11. + Boomer ShooterLong shot39 devs · median $359 · 32 announced
  12. + DiplomacyPoor odds16 devs · median $100k · 28 announced

All 234 pairs on the Survival page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Disc Room older $14.99 957 92% 29k $430k (exactly $430,363) Terri, Dose, Kitty, JW
Space Accident VR $16.99 231 82% 6.9k $118k (exactly $117,741) VR-WRG
Backrooms Cats and Lava older $29.99 105 79% 3.2k $94k (exactly $94,468) Galactic Geckon
Digital Meow older $29.99 101 83% 3.0k $91k (exactly $90,870) Galactic Geckon
Dofamine VR $9.99 173 82% 5.2k $52k (exactly $51,848) VR-WRG
Icycle: On Thin Ice older $6.99 107 96% 3.2k $22k (exactly $22,438) Damp Gnat
The Narrator Is a DICK older $4.99 107 76% 3.2k $16k (exactly $16,018) Adam DeLease
Flying Tobacco Eggs older $39.99 13 84% 390 $16k (exactly $15,596) Gamesforgames
Squirreltopia older $4.99 88 69% 2.6k $13k (exactly $13,174) SD
E.Z older $1.99 213 92% 6.4k $13k (exactly $12,716) Totally Normal Creature
Skullbreaker $29.99 13 92% 390 $12k (exactly $11,696) Sharkgame
Good Luck $4.99 42 69% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) Happybara Games
I HATE MY LEGS $10.99 17 100% 510 $5.6k (exactly $5,605) Subhumans Studio
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
Perfect Liar $3.99 20 100% 600 $2.4k (exactly $2,394) eightworks allware
Null Transit $5.99 8 100% 240 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Halfway Games
UwU Hunter $3.69 12 91% 360 $1.3k (exactly $1,328) ZuggtGames
Only Up 3 $4.99 8 62% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) WGI GAMING

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.