Do I ship it?

Games › Shooter › Shooter + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Precision Platformer Shooter?

Shooter + Precision Platformer

Of 50 developers who shipped a Precision Platformer Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 79 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $180k, ×302 the market median. Revenue is up 85% on the market; 79 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue up 85% on the market, 79 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 50
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.6k → $1.4k → $1.2k → $959 → $419 → $2.4k → $719 (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 50
Bottom 30% $208 (exactly $208)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,166)
Top 25% $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Top 5% $190k (exactly $189,710)
Developers, 2 yr 50
Released games 183
Announced 79
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 85% on the market, supply 10% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Precision Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 3D Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Fast-Paced, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 93% positive over 3,418 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $2.5k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 32 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 79 games are announced against 26 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Neon White 2022 · $13M HUNTDOWN 2021 · $2.4M Cyber Hook 2020 · $1.4M Luna Abyss 2026 · $830k CICADAMATA" 2026 · $425k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
HUNTDOWN older $19.99 4,059 94% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,434,182) Easy Trigger Games
Cyber Hook older $14.99 3,102 95% 93k $1.4M (exactly $1,394,969) Blazing Stick
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
CICADAMATA" $9.99 1,419 96% 43k $425k (exactly $425,274) ✿ flowergarden
Shotgun Cop Man $9.99 633 96% 19k $190k (exactly $189,710) DeadToast Entertainment
Llamasoft: The Jeff Minter Story older $29.99 83 87% 2.5k $75k (exactly $74,675) Digital Eclipse
Astronite older $14.99 165 70% 5.0k $74k (exactly $74,200) Dume Games Studio
Hell of an Office $14.99 121 89% 3.6k $54k (exactly $54,414) 43 Studios
Planet Cube: Edge older $14.99 110 90% 3.3k $49k (exactly $49,467) Sunna Entertainment
JETRUNNER $9.99 118 96% 3.5k $35k (exactly $35,365) Riddlebit Software
POLY IMPULSE $14.99 56 96% 1.7k $25k (exactly $25,183) Dani Bedmar, Moromon
The Prisoning: Fletcher's Quest $14.99 53 88% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Elden Pixels
DeadCore Redux $14.99 46 93% 1.4k $21k (exactly $20,686) 5 Bits Games
SPEEDSHOT $14.99 27 100% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) karmacode
Sheep Seeker $9.99 22 100% 660 $6.6k (exactly $6,593) Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KI… (Isaac MENARD, Luna GARCIN, Alexander KIRK, Séverin RICHARD, Matthieu FARROW, François HANUS, Quentin EUNG, Mattéo GLAIRON-MONDET, Lucas RENARD, Céline TRUONG)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.