Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Strategy › Turn-Based Strategy + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Point & Click

Of 48 developers who shipped a Point & Click Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 74 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $77k, ×124 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 74 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 74 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 48
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $359 → $299 → $4.1k → $3.2k → $2.2k → $239 (still earning) → $210 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 48
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,294)
Top 5% $78k (exactly $77,922)
Developers, 2 yr 48
Released games 139
Announced 74
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 105% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy, Point & Click; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Adventure, RPG
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Hand-drawn
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,809 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $600, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $77k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 23 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 74 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

West of Loathing 2017 · $3.2M Shadows Over Loathing 2022 · $2.2M 60 Parsecs! 2018 · $992k Hellslave 2022 · $422k Aether & Iron 2026 · $391k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
West of Loathing older $10.99 9,716 97% 291k $3.2M (exactly $3,203,365) Asymmetric
Shadows Over Loathing older $22.99 3,120 95% 94k $2.2M (exactly $2,151,864) Asymmetric
60 Parsecs! older $9.99 3,310 90% 99k $992k (exactly $992,007) Robot Gentleman
Hellslave older $19.99 703 82% 21k $422k (exactly $421,589) Ars Goetia
Aether & Iron $24.99 521 84% 16k $391k (exactly $390,594) Seismic Squirrel, Chaos Theory Games
Crown Gambit $17.99 428 94% 13k $231k (exactly $230,992) WILD WITS GAMES
Roulette Hero $9.99 260 92% 7.8k $78k (exactly $77,922) CLLC Studio
Touhou Gensokyo Odyssey older $6.99 357 94% 11k $75k (exactly $74,863) Kronington
Skogdal $19.99 112 98% 3.4k $67k (exactly $67,166) Erlend Kirkeboe, Kay Arne Kirkeboe
Kris and the City of Pleasure older $19.99 82 92% 2.5k $49k (exactly $49,175) Kumogakure., くもがくれ。
Demon Maiden and Slave Summoning $10.99 106 82% 3.2k $35k (exactly $34,948) Sunspot
Milord · EA $9.99 104 64% 3.1k $31k (exactly $31,169) iBright Games
Kaamos: Puzzle Roguelike $9.99 73 87% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,878) Pepperbox Studios
Rise of Atom $19.99 29 79% 870 $17k (exactly $17,391) Glass Bubble Software
ARSONATE $2.99 158 87% 4.7k $14k (exactly $14,173) Nash
Quarterstaff $24.99 18 94% 540 $13k (exactly $13,495) Generic Lake Monster, LLC

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.