Do I ship it?

GamesSpace SimSpace Sim + Point & Click

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Point & Click Space Sim?

Space Sim + Point & Click

Only 16 developers shipped a Point & Click Space Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Approximately Up, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×1.9 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $740k, ×1188 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 16 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Space Sim + Point & Click
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.4k → $356 (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Space Sim + Point & Click: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $238 (exactly $238)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,198)
Top 25% $4.3k (exactly $4,306)
Top 5% $746k (exactly $745,952)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 35
Announced 16
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 120% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Space Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Point & Click
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Space Sim, Point & Click
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 1,875 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $4.3k, 1 in 20 over $740k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DestructionFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + Tactical RPGFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + WarFair34 devs · median $1.3k · 42 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorFair16 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  6. + SportsFair8 devs · median $479 · 9 announced
  7. + DiplomacyLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  8. + MilitaryPoor odds18 devs · median $6.3k · 39 announced
  9. + Online Co-OpPoor odds18 devs · median $4.9k · 63 announced
  10. + Strategy RPGPoor odds8 devs · median $4.9k · 21 announced
  11. + SandboxPoor odds86 devs · median $4.6k · 213 announced
  12. + Colony SimPoor odds42 devs · median $4.6k · 91 announced

All 114 pairs on the Space Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
60 Parsecs! older $9.99 3,310 90% 99k $992k (exactly $992,007) Robot Gentleman
Approximately Up $24.99 995 93% 30k $746k (exactly $745,952) Approximately Games
Void Miner – Incremental Asteroids Roguelite $5.99 698 83% 21k $125k (exactly $125,431) RyanJakob
Interstellaria older $9.99 353 53% 11k $106k (exactly $105,794) Coldrice Games LLC
Lunar Ascendant $14.99 86 44% 2.6k $39k (exactly $38,674) Darts Games
General Horse and the Package of Doom older $9.99 54 98% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) Studio spektar, Porcupine Parkour
The Last Hope older $1.99 268 46% 8.0k $16k (exactly $16,000) Balti Calarasi
IFO older $3.99 109 84% 3.3k $13k (exactly $13,047) Lucas Le Slo, taletronic, Sergi Sabater
Aim in Space older $4.99 42 95% 1.3k $6.3k (exactly $6,287) Serhii Khramov, Davyd Moskalenko, Maksy… (Serhii Khramov, Davyd Moskalenko, Maksym Kanshin)
T. B. P. older $24.99 8 87% 240 $6.0k (exactly $5,998) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Delos: Space Traffic Control $2.99 48 77% 1.4k $4.3k (exactly $4,306) hv
Cosmolace $6.99 16 93% 480 $3.4k (exactly $3,355) CCyoltose
Planet Keeper Program $5.99 9 100% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Robo-Human Studios
Alien Battlefield $9.99 4 0% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) TapfunGame
Frontiers Reach : Battlespace · EA $7.99 5 100% 150 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Blind Alien Productions
Anomaly Operation $6.99 2 100% 60 $419 (exactly $419) for
Pure Idle $0.99 12 33% 360 $356 (exactly $356) Riven Elow

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.