Do I ship it?

GamesDestructionDestruction + Space Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Sim Destruction game?

Destruction + Space Sim

Only 14 developers shipped a Space Sim Destruction game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Space Engineers 2, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.7k, ×6.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $840. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 22 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 6.0 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 22 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Destruction + Space Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 14

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Destruction + Space Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 14
Bottom 30% $839 (exactly $839)
Median $3.7k (exactly $3,748)
Top 25% $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 5% $4.6M (exactly $4,583,972)
Developers, 2 yr 14
Released games 39
Announced 22
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 500% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Destruction
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Space Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Destruction, Space Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 5,379 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $840, median $3.7k, 1 in 4 over $6.2k, 1 in 20 over $4.5M.

3 in 10 developers made under $840. 22 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Destruction with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + ModernFair26 devs · median $1.6k · 28 announced
  2. + God GameFair19 devs · median $899 · 20 announced
  3. + Hidden ObjectFair9 devs · median $719 · 14 announced
  4. + Hack and SlashPoor odds19 devs · median $43k · 57 announced
  5. + HistoricalPoor odds15 devs · median $26k · 22 announced
  6. + CapitalismPoor odds17 devs · median $15k · 46 announced
  7. + Online Co-OpPoor odds37 devs · median $13k · 102 announced
  8. + Co-opPoor odds50 devs · median $11k · 113 announced
  9. + Automobile SimPoor odds22 devs · median $9.0k · 44 announced
  10. + ManagementPoor odds36 devs · median $6.1k · 129 announced
  11. + AutomationPoor odds22 devs · median $6.0k · 46 announced
  12. + CraftingPoor odds36 devs · median $4.9k · 101 announced

All 139 pairs on the Destruction page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Universe Sandbox · EA older $29.99 27,843 96% 835k $25M (exactly $25,050,347) Giant Army
Hardspace: Shipbreaker older $34.99 19,431 89% 583k $20M (exactly $20,396,721) Blackbird Interactive
Starbase · EA older $34.99 6,217 56% 187k $6.5M (exactly $6,525,985) Frozenbyte
Space Engineers 2 · EA $29.99 5,095 74% 153k $4.6M (exactly $4,583,972) Keen Software House
Starpoint Gemini 2 older $34.99 3,021 70% 91k $3.2M (exactly $3,171,144) Little Green Men Games
Wayward Terran Frontier: Zero Falls · EA older $29.99 487 66% 15k $438k (exactly $438,154) Reason Generator Inc.
Ancient Space older $19.99 270 42% 8.1k $162k (exactly $161,919) CreativeForge Games
Out of Orbit · EA older $14.99 166 79% 5.0k $75k (exactly $74,650) Case Yellow Labs
Deep Space Exploitation $8.99 131 96% 3.9k $35k (exactly $35,331) JuhrJuhr
Cosmic Miners · EA $9.99 60 53% 1.8k $18k (exactly $17,982) bitByte Games
Leaks In Space · EA $14.99 14 71% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Frostech Game Studio
Space Crash Simulator $9.99 21 85% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) WPC
Wreckborn $6.99 22 95% 660 $4.6k (exactly $4,613) Krystian Dobaczewski
Macht: Cosmic Engine · EA $24.99 5 80% 150 $3.7k (exactly $3,748) Kestro Games
SpaceCraft Brawl $4.99 17 94% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) ruploz
SpaceSteps · EA $5.99 12 100% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) Net Get Games
Gravity Break · EA $13.99 2 100% 60 $839 (exactly $839) bakspace interactive, Kristian Bak, Dan… (bakspace interactive, Kristian Bak, Daniel Clifton, Nanna Fjord)

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.