Do I ship it?

GamesSpace SimSpace Sim + Walking Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Walking Simulator Space Sim?

Space Sim + Walking Simulator

Only 16 developers shipped a Walking Simulator Space Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Quantum Void, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 20 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $90. Revenue is up 500% on the market; 20 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 500% on the market, 20 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Space Sim + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.5k → $269 → $598 → $479 (still earning) → $5.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Space Sim + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $598 (exactly $598)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,617)
Top 5% $25k (exactly $24,819)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 37
Announced 20
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 500% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Space Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Space Sim, Walking Simulator; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Action-Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 180 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $600, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 20 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DestructionFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + Tactical RPGFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + WarFair34 devs · median $1.3k · 42 announced
  5. + SportsFair8 devs · median $479 · 9 announced
  6. + DiplomacyLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds18 devs · median $6.3k · 39 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds18 devs · median $4.9k · 63 announced
  9. + Strategy RPGPoor odds8 devs · median $4.9k · 21 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds86 devs · median $4.6k · 213 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds42 devs · median $4.6k · 91 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds67 devs · median $4.5k · 160 announced

All 114 pairs on the Space Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Deliver Us The Moon older $24.99 7,510 87% 225k $5.6M (exactly $5,630,247) KeokeN Interactive
Exo One older $16.99 5,053 89% 152k $2.6M (exactly $2,575,514) Exbleative
Quantum Void $11.99 69 95% 2.1k $25k (exactly $24,819) TacNours
Astrophobia $2.99 61 77% 1.8k $5.5k (exactly $5,472) CosmicArcade
Space Supermarket Simulator $9.99 16 75% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) Mythforge Games
I Am a Rock · EA older $1.99 40 92% 1.2k $2.4k (exactly $2,388) PanGuoJun
Periphery Synthetic older $4.99 12 100% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) shiftBacktick
Space Tourist $5.99 9 88% 270 $1.6k (exactly $1,617) Grow Now!
Silent Breach older $4.99 10 80% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) Shiver Eye Development
They Look Like People older $1.99 25 64% 750 $1.5k (exactly $1,492) Aaron Wise
Spiritus Astrum · EA $4.99 8 62% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Phoenix Game Development
Space Commanders: Solar System $9.99 3 100% 90 $899 (exactly $899) Ziya AL
Saturn Quest: The Loneliness Of Captain Navigator $5.99 4 75% 120 $719 (exactly $719) Arkhouse Telegraph
My Apollogies $3.99 5 60% 150 $598 (exactly $598) Spatium Interactive d.o.o
Meteor Expedition · EA $7.99 2 50% 60 $479 (exactly $479) GQ
Sad Virus Space $2.99 3 66% 90 $269 (exactly $269) DIG Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.