Do I ship it?

GamesSpace SimSpace Sim + Sports

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Space Sim Sports game?

Space Sim + Sports

Only 8 developers shipped a Space Sim Sports game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Exo Rally Championship, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $50. Revenue is up 96455% on the market; 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 96455% on the market, 9 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Space Sim + Sports
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Space Sim + Sports: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $479 (exactly $479)
Top 25% $899 (exactly $899)
Top 5% $280k (exactly $280,388)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 40
Announced 9
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Space Sim
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Sports
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Space Sim, Sports
Price point
$3.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 3,364 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $480, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $280k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 9 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Space Sim with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + DestructionFair14 devs · median $3.7k · 22 announced
  2. + Female ProtagonistFair9 devs · median $3.6k · 12 announced
  3. + Tactical RPGFair9 devs · median $1.8k · 15 announced
  4. + WarFair34 devs · median $1.3k · 42 announced
  5. + Walking SimulatorFair16 devs · median $598 · 20 announced
  6. + DiplomacyLong shot7 devs · median $360 · 14 announced
  7. + MilitaryPoor odds18 devs · median $6.3k · 39 announced
  8. + Online Co-OpPoor odds18 devs · median $4.9k · 63 announced
  9. + Strategy RPGPoor odds8 devs · median $4.9k · 21 announced
  10. + SandboxPoor odds86 devs · median $4.6k · 213 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds42 devs · median $4.6k · 91 announced
  12. + Base BuildingPoor odds67 devs · median $4.5k · 160 announced

All 114 pairs on the Space Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nimbatus - The Space Drone Constructor older $19.99 1,758 78% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,054,273) Stray Fawn Studio
Redout 2 older $19.99 1,168 82% 35k $700k (exactly $700,450) 34BigThings srl
Exo Rally Championship $24.99 374 90% 11k $280k (exactly $280,388) Exbleative
Metapilot older $19.99 10 70% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) neurobotx, www.neurobotx.ai
Gas Gas Rocket! older $9.99 12 100% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Gamesforgames
FPVSIM Drone Simulator older $8.99 12 16% 360 $3.2k (exactly $3,236) fpvsim.com
Pinball Lockdown · EA older $5.99 10 60% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Onteca Ltd
CosmoDrive:Infinity older $4.99 7 85% 210 $1.0k (exactly $1,048) Diamond Cats Studio
Cygnus Pizza Race older $2.99 11 100% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Longplay Games
Off World Racing · EA $14.99 2 50% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Off World Racing Company
Pocket Rocket $2.99 6 100% 180 $538 (exactly $538) Jazzcat games
Handgun Football $3.99 4 50% 120 $479 (exactly $479) )erek(
OutSpaceX_EP1 · EA $2.99 2 50% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Fun2Studio
Virtual Campus $0.99 1 0% 30 $30 (exactly $30) Virtual teacher
Planet Strike $3.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) DanboruStudio
Catch These Hands · EA $0.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) MissilexCrisis

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.