Do I ship it?

GamesTurn-Based StrategyTurn-Based Strategy + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Platformer

Only 17 developers shipped a Platformer Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.6 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $240; 1 in 20 cleared $4.6k, ×7.4 the market median. Revenue is up 370% on the market; 16 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue up 370% on the market, 16 announced, ×1.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $599 → $628 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $360 (exactly $360)
Top 25% $629 (exactly $629)
Top 5% $4.7k (exactly $4,668)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 49
Announced 16
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $3.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 370% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy, Platformer; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Puzzle, Action
Price point
$3.99 typical · top 25% priced $6.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $6.99 or above; the middle game at $3.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 100 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $360, 1 in 4 over $620, 1 in 20 over $4.6k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 10 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Worms W.M.D older $29.99 10,435 85% 313k $9.4M (exactly $9,388,370) Team17
Child of Light older $14.99 12,108 91% 363k $5.4M (exactly $5,444,968) Ubisoft Montréal
Worms Armageddon older $14.99 7,851 94% 236k $3.5M (exactly $3,530,595) Team17 Digital Ltd
Worldless older $19.99 1,558 94% 47k $934k (exactly $934,333) Noname Studios
The Treehouse Man older $9.99 128 87% 3.8k $38k (exactly $38,362) Hunchback Studio
Magic Trap older $49.99 23 86% 690 $34k (exactly $34,493) Gamesforgames
Recon Control older $9.99 96 79% 2.9k $29k (exactly $28,771) Dmitry Kozlov
Boom Slingers · EA older $6.99 121 91% 3.6k $25k (exactly $25,374) Boom Corp
Another Crusade older $19.99 39 79% 1.2k $23k (exactly $23,388) Dragon Vein Studios
Meet me at NooN older $9.99 55 100% 1.7k $16k (exactly $16,484) Pandaroo Interactive
Carnival Heroes - Super party minigames $3.99 39 97% 1.2k $4.7k (exactly $4,668) LAN - GAMES LTD
Wriggle apple $2.99 14 78% 420 $1.3k (exactly $1,256) WormWorld Studios, Sharkgame
Wriggle apple 4 $2.99 10 90% 300 $897 (exactly $897) WormWorld Studios, Sharkgame
Paplion $11.99 2 100% 60 $719 (exactly $719) Spheanix
Wriggle apple 2 $2.99 8 87% 240 $718 (exactly $718) WormWorld Studios, Sharkgame
GunBlocks · EA $6.99 3 100% 90 $629 (exactly $629) Steve Welz
Wriggle apple 3 $2.99 7 85% 210 $628 (exactly $628) WormWorld Studios
GØRKJES - finger food fighting $9.99 2 100% 60 $599 (exactly $599) Moritz Petzka, Basuramor
Pharaoh's Leap $0.99 14 85% 420 $416 (exactly $416) Gamesforgames
We Don't Cry: Zombie Survival $11.99 1 0% 30 $360 (exactly $360) Bored Alchemist

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.