Do I ship it?

Games › Turn-Based Strategy › Turn-Based Strategy + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game Turn-Based Strategy?

Turn-Based Strategy + Party Game

Of 38 developers who shipped a Party Game Turn-Based Strategy in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $420 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 5 / 10 build. 33 developers shipped in the last year and 49 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.5 times the market baseline, revenue up 345% on the market, 49 announced, ×1.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Turn-Based Strategy + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $89k → $299 (still earning) → $748 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Turn-Based Strategy + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $1.4k (exactly $1,438)
Top 5% $188k (exactly $187,706)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 51
Announced 49
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 345% on the market, supply 560% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Turn-Based Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Turn-Based Strategy, Party Game; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Board Game, PvP
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Hand-drawn, Funny
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 56% positive over 1,002 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.4k, 1 in 20 over $180k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 33 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Turn-Based Strategy with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WuxiaFair12 devs · median $19k · 17 announced
  2. + Cold WarFair18 devs · median $9.9k · 22 announced
  3. + RomeFair15 devs · median $9.0k · 18 announced
  4. + LootFair86 devs · median $6.3k · 97 announced
  5. + MiningFair10 devs · median $4.5k · 14 announced
  6. + DwarvesFair7 devs · median $3.7k · 12 announced
  7. + IdlerFair50 devs · median $3.6k · 45 announced
  8. + Asynchronous MultiplayerFair43 devs · median $3.6k · 54 announced
  9. + TanksFair25 devs · median $3.0k · 24 announced
  10. + SokobanFair11 devs · median $2.1k · 11 announced
  11. + Top-Down ShooterFair13 devs · median $1.6k · 13 announced
  12. + SpaceFair107 devs · median $1.5k · 143 announced

All 187 pairs on the Turn-Based Strategy page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

NEW MONOPOLY® 2024 · $478k Project Planet - Earth vs Humanity 2023 · $271k Tenebris: Terra Incognita 2026 · $188k MACHI KORO With Everyone 2024 · $89k Duo Quest 2026 · $12k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NEW MONOPOLY® $29.99 531 36% 16k $478k (exactly $477,741) UBISOFT, Engine Software
Project Planet - Earth vs Humanity older $24.99 361 78% 11k $271k (exactly $270,642) Fifth Harbour Studios
Tenebris: Terra Incognita $19.99 313 79% 9.4k $188k (exactly $187,706) Phantasmica Studios
MACHI KORO With Everyone older $24.99 119 66% 3.6k $89k (exactly $89,214) Grounding Inc.
Duo Quest $14.99 26 65% 780 $12k (exactly $11,692) 1+1 Studios
Doodle Dice Monsters $5.99 60 75% 1.8k $11k (exactly $10,782) AuWiMo, Mighty Jungle Games
okey.gg · EA $9.99 16 50% 480 $4.8k (exactly $4,795) yilmaz.games
Blackjack Roulette $2.99 30 83% 900 $2.7k (exactly $2,691) DreamArk Lab
Co OPERATION: MultiTurn $19.99 4 100% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Mind Feast Games
Smoke Town $6.99 9 100% 270 $1.9k (exactly $1,887) TSRV
Battle Hanafuda · EA $7.99 7 100% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) SUZUKI PLAN, Yoji Suzuki
That's My President! $7.99 6 100% 180 $1.4k (exactly $1,438) Kisotik Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.