Do I ship it?

GamesShooterShooter + Party Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Party Game Shooter?

Shooter + Party Game

Of 65 developers who shipped a Party Game Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 154 more are announced, ×2.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $57k, ×91 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 154 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 154 announced, ×2.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Shooter + Party Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 65
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.3k → $1.2k → $1.2k → $270 → $510 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Shooter + Party Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 65
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $2.2k (exactly $2,155)
Top 5% $57k (exactly $57,192)
Developers, 2 yr 65
Released games 117
Announced 154
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 390% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Shooter
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Party Game
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Shooter, Party Game; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvP, Arcade
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $10.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Funny, 3D, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $10.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 66% positive over 1,737 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $450, 1 in 4 over $2.1k, 1 in 20 over $57k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 7 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 154 games are announced against 54 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.9 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair23 devs · median $9.8k · 17 announced
  2. + CollectathonFair69 devs · median $1.4k · 64 announced
  3. + VampiresFair38 devs · median $1.3k · 41 announced
  4. + Walking SimulatorFair68 devs · median $1.2k · 62 announced
  5. + IdlerFair70 devs · median $836 · 59 announced
  6. + Match 3Fair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + SnowFair22 devs · median $570 · 23 announced
  8. + Boss RushFair16 devs · median $537 · 20 announced
  9. + IncrementalFair85 devs · median $479 · 88 announced
  10. + ArcadeLong shot1,151 devs · median $419 · 1,332 announced
  11. + Score AttackLong shot372 devs · median $300 · 352 announced
  12. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds25 devs · median $139k · 45 announced

All 229 pairs on the Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
KILLER INN · EA $9.99 670 44% 20k $201k (exactly $200,799) Square Enix, Tactic Studios
Panoptic older $16.99 281 96% 8.4k $143k (exactly $143,226) Team Panoptes
INVERSUS Deluxe older $14.99 271 88% 8.1k $122k (exactly $121,869) Hypersect
Midnight Murder Club $9.99 304 71% 9.1k $91k (exactly $91,109) Velan Studios
Escape From Mandrillia: Local Asymmetric VR+PC $12.99 181 95% 5.4k $71k (exactly $70,536) German Bandera
Retimed older $14.99 142 90% 4.3k $64k (exactly $63,857) Team Maniax
BattleCap $11.99 159 96% 4.8k $57k (exactly $57,192) MechAlmond Productions
Baking Bad · EA $10.99 123 32% 3.7k $41k (exactly $40,553) FunkyArmor
Mimicry older $4.99 248 78% 7.4k $37k (exactly $37,126) Euphoria Games
Prop Hunt 2.0 older $12.99 53 30% 1.6k $21k (exactly $20,654) HorseGames
MAGE: Mega Awesome Gregarious Encounters $9.99 29 89% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) FunRug Studio
Wink Out · EA $7.99 31 100% 930 $7.4k (exactly $7,431) Clevergence Games
Blood Night · EA $1.99 109 95% 3.3k $6.5k (exactly $6,507) Team
Chaotic Conflicts $1.99 97 88% 2.9k $5.8k (exactly $5,791) Steampunk
YGGDRA: SURVIVOR $4.99 34 79% 1.0k $5.1k (exactly $5,090) BD

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.