Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Walking Simulator Parkour game?

Parkour + Walking Simulator

Of 38 developers who shipped a Walking Simulator Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $720, ×1.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $180. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 32 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 32 announced, ×1.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Walking Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 38
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $449 → $897 → $267 → $3.0k → $716 → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Walking Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 38
Bottom 30% $178 (exactly $178)
Median $719 (exactly $719)
Top 25% $3.5k (exactly $3,528)
Top 5% $194k (exactly $194,270)
Developers, 2 yr 38
Released games 113
Announced 32
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Walking Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Walking Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Simulation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 19,056 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $720, 1 in 4 over $3.5k, 1 in 20 over $190k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 25 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 32 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  2. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  3. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  4. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  5. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  6. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  7. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  8. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  9. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  10. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  11. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds57 devs · median $2.4k · 106 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Outlast 2013 · $47M Cairn 2026 · $16M Bomb Rush Cyberfunk 2023 · $15M Valley 2016 · $2.8M Submerged 2015 · $2.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Outlast older $14.99 104,353 96% 3.1M $47M (exactly $46,927,544) Red Barrels
Cairn $29.99 18,224 94% 547k $16M (exactly $16,396,133) The Game Bakers
Bomb Rush Cyberfunk older $39.99 12,645 98% 379k $15M (exactly $15,170,206) Team Reptile
Valley older $14.99 6,276 91% 188k $2.8M (exactly $2,822,317) Blue Isle Studios
Submerged older $19.99 4,328 75% 130k $2.6M (exactly $2,595,502) Uppercut Games Pty Ltd
Hunt Down The Freeman older $9.99 3,785 54% 114k $1.1M (exactly $1,134,364) Royal Rudius Entertainment
BLACKSHARD $14.99 432 91% 13k $194k (exactly $194,270) Redlock Studio, Enclave
Qbeh-1: The Atlas Cube older $9.99 608 87% 18k $182k (exactly $182,218) Liquid Flower
0°N 0°W older $4.99 363 85% 11k $54k (exactly $54,341) Colorfiction
Dark Succubus $6.99 171 77% 5.1k $36k (exactly $35,859) ZC Game
Sex on the beach $24.99 30 63% 900 $22k (exactly $22,491) Games For Pleasure
Puppet Team $4.99 112 64% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,766) Editmode
Bambas! $14.99 15 86% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) DevilishGames
Beat Paws Odyssey $6.99 26 88% 780 $5.5k (exactly $5,452) mindora games
A Game About Breaking Pots $5.99 27 100% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) Glenn Verheij
Sportvida CyberDash $19.99 7 85% 210 $4.2k (exactly $4,198) ible Sportvida
✈️Velocity Wings✈️ $9.80 12 91% 360 $3.5k (exactly $3,528) ZhiFeng Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.