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Should I ship a Swordplay Parkour game?
Parkour + Swordplay
Only 9 developers shipped a Swordplay Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Assassin’s Creed Shadows, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 33 more are announced, ×6.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.2k, ×6.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $73M, ×116864 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 33 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $1.4k (exactly $1,440) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) |
| Top 25% | $539k (exactly $538,531) |
| Top 5% | $73M (exactly $73,390,814) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 9 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 33 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour, Swordplay
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.
The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 76% positive over 148,636 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 33 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
Comparable games
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ 2023 · $168M 
Assassin’s Creed Shadows 2025 · $73M 
Shadow Warrior 2 2016 · $22M 
SpiderHeck 2022 · $1.8M 
Assassin's Creed Freedom Cry 2014 · $1.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™ | older | $69.99 | 79,990 71% | 2.4M | $168M (exactly $167,955,003) | Respawn |
| | Assassin’s Creed Shadows | $69.99 | 34,953 75% | 1.0M | $73M (exactly $73,390,814) | Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubiso… (Ubisoft Quebec, Ubisoft Belgrade, Ubisoft Bordeaux, Ubisoft Bucharest & Craiova, Ubisoft Chengdu, Ubisoft Montpellier, Ubisoft Montreal, Ubisoft Osaka, Ubisoft Philippines, Ubisoft Shanghai, Ubisoft Singapore, Ubisoft Sofia, Ubisoft Ukraine) | |
| | Shadow Warrior 2 | older | $29.99 | 24,120 87% | 724k | $22M (exactly $21,700,764) | Flying Wild Hog |
| | SpiderHeck | older | $14.99 | 3,922 93% | 118k | $1.8M (exactly $1,763,723) | Neverjam |
| | Assassin's Creed Freedom Cry | older | $14.99 | 2,891 77% | 87k | $1.3M (exactly $1,300,083) | Ubisoft Montreal |
 | Bloodthief | $19.99 | 1,017 95% | 31k | $610k (exactly $609,895) | Blargis | |
 | Shady Knight | $19.99 | 898 93% | 27k | $539k (exactly $538,531) | Alexey 'cptnsigh' | |
 | Undead Citadel | older | $29.99 | 288 72% | 8.6k | $259k (exactly $259,114) | Dark Curry S.L. |
 | LONN | older | $29.99 | 201 64% | 6.0k | $181k (exactly $180,840) | SixSense Studios |
 | Lugaru HD | older | $9.99 | 356 83% | 11k | $107k (exactly $106,693) | Wolfire Games |
 | A Game About Breaking Pots | $5.99 | 27 100% | 810 | $4.9k (exactly $4,852) | Glenn Verheij | |
 | Sportvida CyberDash | $19.99 | 7 85% | 210 | $4.2k (exactly $4,198) | ible Sportvida | |
 | ASHGARD: Infinity Mask | · EA | $9.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | ASHGARD GAMES |
 | GAYA - The Mystery | $8.00 | 6 100% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,440) | Dunamis | |
 | GØRKJES - finger food fighting | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Moritz Petzka, Basuramor | |
 | Kill Dee | $0.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $505 (exactly $505) | BYE BYE, BUYBYEGames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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