Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Modern

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Modern-Day Parkour game?

Parkour + Modern

Only 10 developers shipped a Modern-Day Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, KYOTO XANADU -the Blooming Phantom-, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×5.0 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $900; 1 in 20 cleared $660k, ×1059 the market median. Revenue is up 280% on the market; 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 280% on the market, 24 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Modern
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $299 → $3.0k → $3.1k
Outcomes for Parkour + Modern: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,144)
Top 25% $17k (exactly $16,766)
Top 5% $665k (exactly $664,829)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 31
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.49

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 280% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Modern
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour
Price point
$7.49 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 689 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $16k, 1 in 20 over $660k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 8 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  10. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  11. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced
  12. + Open WorldPoor odds57 devs · median $2.4k · 106 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Liftoff®: FPV Drone Racing older $19.99 13,633 95% 409k $8.2M (exactly $8,175,710) LuGus Studios
Tomb Raider: Legend older $6.99 5,430 87% 163k $1.1M (exactly $1,138,671) Crystal Dynamics
KYOTO XANADU -the Blooming Phantom- $54.99 403 78% 12k $665k (exactly $664,829) Nihon Falcom
Offroad Truck Simulator: Heavy Duty Challenge® older $29.99 111 50% 3.3k $100k (exactly $99,867) Nano Games
Graffism VR - Graffiti Simulator · EA $24.99 98 86% 2.9k $73k (exactly $73,471) VRiteLabs
KILLRUN older $4.99 153 67% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) BULKHEAD
Puppet Team $4.99 112 64% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,766) Editmode
LOST EGG 3: The Final older $2.99 75 74% 2.3k $6.7k (exactly $6,728) KIMIDORI SOFT
ACRODRIFT: FPV Drone Simulator · EA $14.99 14 85% 420 $6.3k (exactly $6,296) Dueking Studio
ULTRA VERTIGO $4.99 21 100% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) TEAGHER STUDIO
LOST EGG the Hard Boiled $2.99 33 42% 990 $3.0k (exactly $2,960) KIMIDORI SOFT
Xenogen $7.49 4 100% 120 $899 (exactly $899) Sylph
JumpMap $14.99 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Radiant Bear Games
Arcade Jumper $4.99 2 100% 60 $299 (exactly $299) Pineqvist
Up, Up And Away Web ! $1.99 1 100% 30 $60 (exactly $60) Lunar Code Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.