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Should I ship a Time Manipulation Parkour game?
Parkour + Time Manipulation
Only 18 developers shipped a Time Manipulation Parkour game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bauhaus Bonk, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 17 more are announced.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $110; 1 in 20 cleared $17k, ×28 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 17 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $105 (exactly $105) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $1.7k (exactly $1,679) |
| Top 5% | $17k (exactly $17,498) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 18 |
| Released games | 46 |
| Announced | 17 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 250% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Parkour
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Time Manipulation
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour, Time Manipulation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Precision Platformer
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Stylized, 3D, Colorful
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 98% positive over 141 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $110. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 17 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
DEATHLOOP 2021 · $36M 
Prince of Persia®: The Sands of Time 2008 · $1.5M 
Prince of Persia: Warrior Within™ 2008 · $1.2M 
CONVERGENCE: A League of Legends Story™ 2023 · $943k 
Prince of Persia: The Forgotten Sands™ 2010 · $864k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | DEATHLOOP | older | $59.99 | 19,910 76% | 597k | $36M (exactly $35,832,027) | Arkane Studios |
| | Prince of Persia®: The Sands of Time | older | $9.99 | 5,045 85% | 151k | $1.5M (exactly $1,511,986) | Kudosoft |
| | Prince of Persia: Warrior Within™ | older | $9.99 | 3,933 82% | 118k | $1.2M (exactly $1,178,720) | Ubisoft |
| | CONVERGENCE: A League of Legends Story™ | older | $29.99 | 1,048 87% | 31k | $943k (exactly $942,886) | Double Stallion |
| | Prince of Persia: The Forgotten Sands™ | older | $9.99 | 2,882 70% | 86k | $864k (exactly $863,735) | Ubisoft Montreal |
 | Prince of Persia: The Two Thrones™ | older | $9.99 | 2,683 80% | 80k | $804k (exactly $804,095) | Ubisoft Montreal |
 | Sumoman | older | $11.99 | 542 79% | 16k | $195k (exactly $194,957) | Tequilabyte Studio |
 | Time To Stop Time | older | $9.99 | 161 71% | 4.8k | $48k (exactly $48,252) | Sicarius |
 | Redactem | older | $4.99 | 178 62% | 5.3k | $27k (exactly $26,647) | Elliott Jones |
 | Bauhaus Bonk | $7.99 | 73 100% | 2.2k | $17k (exactly $17,498) | Spoonful Games | |
 | SPEEDSHOT | $14.99 | 27 100% | 810 | $12k (exactly $12,142) | karmacode | |
 | Echobreaker | $8.99 | 12 100% | 360 | $3.2k (exactly $3,236) | Upstream Arcade | |
 | Spymaster | · EA | $11.99 | 6 100% | 180 | $2.2k (exactly $2,158) | InnerspaceVR |
 | Mental Hellacious | $13.99 | 4 50% | 120 | $1.7k (exactly $1,679) | MoreNEWttoStudio | |
 | DuaLight | $6.99 | 7 100% | 210 | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) | RedWineGames Studio | |
 | Void Jump VR | $14.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $899 (exactly $899) | LemmoLab | |
 | Casa De Diamantes | $8.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $809 (exactly $809) | SoulPixel Studio | |
 | GraviChess | $4.99 | 5 100% | 150 | $748 (exactly $748) | Lumpy Software | |
 | Apex Path: BOLT | · EA | $9.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $599 (exactly $599) | Sanswolf |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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