Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Survival Horror

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Parkour Survival Horror?

Parkour + Survival Horror

Only 12 developers shipped a Parkour Survival Horror in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, White Knuckle, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $810, ×1.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $6.8M, ×10840 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 24 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Survival Horror
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $259k → $1.6k → $5.7k → $807 → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Survival Horror: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $807 (exactly $807)
Top 25% $5.7k (exactly $5,694)
Top 5% $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 34
Announced 24
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Survival Horror
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Survival Horror
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 98% positive over 13,628 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $810, 1 in 4 over $5.6k, 1 in 20 over $6.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Dying Light older $24.99 373,413 95% 11M $280M (exactly $279,947,726) Techland
Outlast older $14.99 104,353 96% 3.1M $47M (exactly $46,927,544) Red Barrels
Outlast 2 older $19.99 54,239 90% 1.6M $33M (exactly $32,527,128) Red Barrels
Gorilla Tag older $19.99 52,637 93% 1.6M $32M (exactly $31,566,409) Another Axiom Inc.
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
Hello Neighbor 2 older $39.99 4,361 81% 131k $5.2M (exactly $5,231,892) Eerie Guest, tinyBuild
Die Young older $9.99 1,521 78% 46k $456k (exactly $455,844) IndieGala
Undead Citadel older $29.99 288 72% 8.6k $259k (exactly $259,114) Dark Curry S.L.
Scamper older $19.99 87 87% 2.6k $52k (exactly $52,174) Bezbro Games
CashGrab: Refunded · EA $6.99 206 87% 6.2k $43k (exactly $43,198) Grabba Guild Games LLC
Malevolent Madness $9.99 19 89% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) NEBULA NOVA GAMES
Throne Alone $4.99 13 92% 390 $1.9k (exactly $1,946) Phase Vault
Village of the Curse $2.99 9 44% 270 $807 (exactly $807) Leakage Games
Deadly Joy $2.99 9 33% 270 $807 (exactly $807) Napping Penguin
Nightmarise $3.99 6 100% 180 $718 (exactly $718) TripleDucks Studio
Urbex Nigthmare $2.00 8 62% 240 $480 (exactly $480) Dominique Gervais
Rooftop $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Muscle Games
Backrooms: Last Chance $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Qorinva Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.