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Should I ship a Parkour Survival game?
Parkour + Survival
Of 26 developers who shipped a Parkour Survival game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 68 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $670k, ×1068 the market median. Revenue is up 10% on the market; 68 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $748 (exactly $748) |
| Top 25% | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) |
| Top 5% | $670k (exactly $670,441) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 26 |
| Released games | 97 |
| Announced | 68 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 10% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour, Survival; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Exploration, Online Co-Op
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Third Person, 3D, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 93% positive over 23,287 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 68 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022 · $297M 
Dying Light 2015 · $280M 
Rise of the Tomb Raider™ 2016 · $115M 
Outlast 2013 · $47M 
Outlast 2 2017 · $33M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition | older | $59.99 | 164,914 79% | 4.9M | $297M (exactly $296,795,726) | Techland |
| | Dying Light | older | $24.99 | 373,413 95% | 11M | $280M (exactly $279,947,726) | Techland |
| | Rise of the Tomb Raider™ | older | $29.99 | 127,316 94% | 3.8M | $115M (exactly $114,546,205) | Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral… (Crystal Dynamics, Eidos-Montréal, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux), Nixxes) |
| | Outlast | older | $14.99 | 104,353 96% | 3.1M | $47M (exactly $46,927,544) | Red Barrels |
| | Outlast 2 | older | $19.99 | 54,239 90% | 1.6M | $33M (exactly $32,527,128) | Red Barrels |
 | Cairn | $29.99 | 18,224 94% | 547k | $16M (exactly $16,396,133) | The Game Bakers | |
 | Deadlight | older | $14.99 | 9,386 78% | 282k | $4.2M (exactly $4,220,884) | Tequila Works, S.L. |
 | Valley | older | $14.99 | 6,276 91% | 188k | $2.8M (exactly $2,822,317) | Blue Isle Studios |
 | Submerged | older | $19.99 | 4,328 75% | 130k | $2.6M (exactly $2,595,502) | Uppercut Games Pty Ltd |
 | Quake Live | older | $9.99 | 4,361 88% | 131k | $1.3M (exactly $1,306,992) | id Software |
 | Pratfall | $7.99 | 2,797 90% | 84k | $670k (exactly $670,441) | Quad Head | |
 | Last Train Outta' Wormtown | $11.99 | 1,453 96% | 44k | $523k (exactly $522,644) | Get(Color) Games | |
 | Survival Machine | $19.99 | 692 69% | 21k | $415k (exactly $414,992) | Grape Pickers | |
 | I HATE MY LEGS | $10.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $5.6k (exactly $5,605) | Subhumans Studio | |
 | LINK Penguins | $5.99 | 31 87% | 930 | $5.6k (exactly $5,571) | lemorion_1224 | |
 | Prison Escape Simulator | $9.99 | 18 77% | 540 | $5.4k (exactly $5,395) | PEGAX Studios | |
 | Dino running from a FURRY: GAMESFORFARM | $2.99 | 21 100% | 630 | $1.9k (exactly $1,884) | Piece Of Voxel, Gamesforfarm | |
 | Tung Sahur Zombie | $1.99 | 26 73% | 780 | $1.6k (exactly $1,552) | LooFoe Games | |
 | Only Up 3 | $4.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | WGI GAMING |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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