Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Strategy Parkour game?

Parkour + Strategy

Of 47 developers who shipped a Strategy Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 70 more are announced, ×3.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 22 developers shipped in the last year and 70 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 70 announced, ×3.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Strategy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 47
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $449 → $1.1k → $148 → $478 → $180 → $179 → $299 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Strategy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 47
Bottom 30% $89 (exactly $89)
Median $180 (exactly $180)
Top 25% $898 (exactly $898)
Top 5% $116k (exactly $115,573)
Developers, 2 yr 47
Released games 156
Announced 70
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Strategy
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Strategy; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 3D Platformer, Action, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 3,009 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $89, median $180, 1 in 4 over $890, 1 in 20 over $110k.

3 in 10 developers made under $89. Nearly all of the 28 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 70 games are announced against 22 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Watch_Dogs™ 2014 · $30M Assassin's Creed® Syndicate 2015 · $28M Session: Skate Sim 2022 · $16M Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist 2013 · $12M Clustertruck 2016 · $6.6M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Watch_Dogs™ older $19.99 49,193 79% 1.5M $30M (exactly $29,501,042) Ubisoft
Assassin's Creed® Syndicate older $29.99 31,087 80% 933k $28M (exactly $27,968,974) Ubisoft Quebec, in collaboration with U… (Ubisoft Quebec, in collaboration with Ubisoft Annecy, Bucharest, Kiev, Montreal, Montpellier, Shanghai, Singapore, Sofia, Toronto studios)
Session: Skate Sim older $39.99 13,460 83% 404k $16M (exactly $16,147,962) crea-ture Studios Inc.
Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Blacklist older $19.99 19,309 78% 579k $12M (exactly $11,579,607) Ubisoft Toronto
Clustertruck older $14.99 14,706 93% 441k $6.6M (exactly $6,613,288) Landfall
Lara Croft GO older $9.99 3,274 94% 98k $981k (exactly $981,218) Square Enix Montréal
Sword With Sauce older $4.99 5,762 86% 173k $863k (exactly $862,571) Diatomic Studios
Finding Frankie $14.99 1,886 90% 57k $848k (exactly $848,134) SUPERLOU
Survival Machine $19.99 692 69% 21k $415k (exactly $414,992) Grape Pickers
Topple Tactics older $9.99 1,370 88% 41k $411k (exactly $410,589) Braian Strak
Relooted $14.99 257 87% 7.7k $116k (exactly $115,573) Nyamakop
Bauhaus Bonk $7.99 73 100% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) Spoonful Games
CROW $9.99 27 85% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) Uniday Studio
Stick Scholars $4.99 30 90% 900 $4.5k (exactly $4,491) JaDropping Games
Reverse Fishing $4.99 17 94% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) Doug
Rogue Climber · EA $8.99 9 100% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) Imaginary Game Studios
Not Lonely Up! $5.99 10 100% 300 $1.8k (exactly $1,797) Breakfast
The King of Wall Street $4.99 8 100% 240 $1.2k (exactly $1,198) Yogo Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.