Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Roguelite

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelite Parkour game?

Parkour + Roguelite

Of 25 developers who shipped a Roguelite Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×3428 the market median. Revenue is up 440% on the market; 47 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 440% on the market, 47 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Roguelite
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 25
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.5k → $17k → $8.1k → $478 → $719 → $599 → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Roguelite: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 25
Bottom 30% $119 (exactly $119)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $4.9k (exactly $4,852)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,152,982)
Developers, 2 yr 25
Released games 48
Announced 47
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 440% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Roguelite
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Roguelite; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Procedural Generation
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 17,634 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $750, 1 in 4 over $4.8k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 8 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
DEATHLOOP older $59.99 19,910 76% 597k $36M (exactly $35,832,027) Arkane Studios
Haste $19.99 12,690 92% 381k $7.6M (exactly $7,610,193) Landfall
GTTOD · EA older $29.99 3,010 87% 90k $2.7M (exactly $2,708,097) Andrew Smith, STUDIO Bare Bones
The Rogue Prince of Persia $29.99 2,393 89% 72k $2.2M (exactly $2,152,982) Evil Empire
Killer Bean · EA $14.99 2,272 73% 68k $1.0M (exactly $1,021,718) Killer Bean Studios LLC
Madshot older $19.99 210 79% 6.3k $126k (exactly $125,937) Overflow
Surmount older $14.99 126 83% 3.8k $57k (exactly $56,662) Jasper Oprel, Indiana-Jonas
This Is No Cave $6.99 127 96% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) monome.studio
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
SpeedOverflow older $4.99 116 72% 3.5k $17k (exactly $17,365) 狼烟
ZIX · EA $9.99 28 78% 840 $8.4k (exactly $8,392) Hidden IO
GwenBlade: Halloween $5.99 27 92% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) ArcWillow
Rogue Climber · EA $8.99 9 100% 270 $2.4k (exactly $2,427) Imaginary Game Studios
GUN.DOG.REVENGE $4.00 18 100% 540 $2.2k (exactly $2,160) MEWSTURBO
Rogue Runner $5.99 12 91% 360 $2.2k (exactly $2,156) 42nd Machine

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.