Do I ship it?

GamesParkourParkour + Roguelike

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roguelike Parkour game?

Parkour + Roguelike

Of 37 developers who shipped a Roguelike Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×3.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $2.1M, ×3428 the market median. Revenue is up 25% on the market; 49 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 25% on the market, 49 announced, ×3.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Roguelike
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 37
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $239 → $6.1k → $897 → $1.2k → $1.0k → $599 → $1.9k (still earning) → $22k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Roguelike: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 37
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,104)
Top 5% $2.2M (exactly $2,152,982)
Developers, 2 yr 37
Released games 68
Announced 49
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 25% on the market, supply 25% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour, Roguelike; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $12.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $12.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 95% positive over 18,917 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $750, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $2.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
White Knuckle · EA $16.99 13,356 98% 401k $6.8M (exactly $6,807,553) Dark Machine Games
GTTOD · EA older $29.99 3,010 87% 90k $2.7M (exactly $2,708,097) Andrew Smith, STUDIO Bare Bones
The Rogue Prince of Persia $29.99 2,393 89% 72k $2.2M (exactly $2,152,982) Evil Empire
Pratfall $7.99 2,797 90% 84k $670k (exactly $670,441) Quad Head
Madshot older $19.99 210 79% 6.3k $126k (exactly $125,937) Overflow
Unnamed Pogo Game $6.99 127 85% 3.8k $27k (exactly $26,632) Unnamed Games
Shadow Ninja: Apocalypse older $4.99 153 55% 4.6k $23k (exactly $22,904) Boogygames Studios
Gunstoppable $12.49 58 81% 1.7k $22k (exactly $21,733) CAGE Studios
SCHROTT: Roguelike Racer · EA $12.99 49 91% 1.5k $19k (exactly $19,095) Ivy Juice
GwenBlade older $9.99 54 75% 1.6k $16k (exactly $16,184) ArcWillow
Only Trump: Up To Presidents! $8.99 40 67% 1.2k $11k (exactly $10,788) Gamesforfarm, Piece Of Voxel
Prison Escape Simulator $9.99 18 77% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) PEGAX Studios
GwenBlade: Halloween $5.99 27 92% 810 $4.9k (exactly $4,852) ArcWillow
NABI $1.99 52 61% 1.6k $3.1k (exactly $3,104) Fancysquare

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.