Do I ship it?

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Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Robot Parkour game?

Parkour + Robots

Of 22 developers who shipped a Robot Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 51 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×648 the market median. Revenue is up 225% on the market; 51 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 225% on the market, 51 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Parkour + Robots
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 22
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.5k → $898 → $1.6k → $199k → $2.1k → $31k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Parkour + Robots: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 22
Bottom 30% $297 (exactly $297)
Median $2.1k (exactly $2,096)
Top 25% $62k (exactly $61,826)
Top 5% $407k (exactly $406,698)
Developers, 2 yr 22
Released games 82
Announced 51
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $12.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 225% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 24%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Parkour
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Robots
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Parkour; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Platformer
Price point
$12.00 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 3D, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $12.00.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 7,327 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $300, median $2.1k, 1 in 4 over $61k, 1 in 20 over $400k.

3 in 10 developers made under $300. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 51 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Walking SimulatorFair38 devs · median $719 · 32 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  3. + Precision PlatformerLong shot310 devs · median $359 · 293 announced
  4. + MetroidvaniaPoor odds8 devs · median $80k · 40 announced
  5. + SkateboardingPoor odds11 devs · median $4.8k · 20 announced
  6. + SwordplayPoor odds9 devs · median $4.2k · 33 announced
  7. + Hack and SlashPoor odds18 devs · median $3.4k · 72 announced
  8. + Dark FantasyPoor odds24 devs · median $3.4k · 37 announced
  9. + ModernPoor odds10 devs · median $3.1k · 24 announced
  10. + CatsPoor odds15 devs · median $3.1k · 18 announced
  11. + DestructionPoor odds10 devs · median $2.9k · 27 announced
  12. + StealthPoor odds26 devs · median $2.7k · 77 announced

All 109 pairs on the Parkour page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Call of Duty®: Black Ops III 2015 · $284M ENSLAVED™: Odyssey to the West™ Premium Edition 2013 · $3.5M MOTORSLICE 2026 · $3.3M Grow Home 2015 · $951k Steel Seed 2025 · $407k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Call of Duty®: Black Ops III older $59.99 157,694 88% 4.7M $284M (exactly $283,801,892) Treyarch, Aspyr (Mac)
ENSLAVED™: Odyssey to the West™ Premium Edition older $19.99 5,789 86% 174k $3.5M (exactly $3,471,663) Ninja Theory
MOTORSLICE $19.99 5,467 85% 164k $3.3M (exactly $3,278,560) Regular Studio
Grow Home older $7.99 3,969 93% 119k $951k (exactly $951,369) Reflections, a Ubisoft Studio
Steel Seed $39.99 339 78% 10k $407k (exactly $406,698) Storm in a Teacup
Reach $29.99 244 66% 7.3k $220k (exactly $219,527) nDreams Elevation
BAIONLENJA · EA $12.99 510 97% 15k $199k (exactly $198,747) BAION
Boson X older $4.99 1,327 93% 40k $199k (exactly $198,652) Ian MacLarty, Jon Kerney
Clockwork Ambrosia $19.99 133 84% 4.0k $80k (exactly $79,760) Realmsoft
RKGK / Rakugaki older $11.99 212 76% 6.4k $76k (exactly $76,256) Wabisabi Games
Toree Saturn $4.99 413 93% 12k $62k (exactly $61,826) Siactro
CYBERMATRIX $12.00 127 89% 3.8k $46k (exactly $45,720) Tim Murich
Maseylia : Echoes of the Past $16.99 61 80% 1.8k $31k (exactly $31,092) Sol Brothers
Stack Prootocol $8.99 28 100% 840 $7.6k (exactly $7,552) Dare Looks, Mahmu-Kai
Vertigo Rush · EA $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Sumalab

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.