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Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Parkour game?
Parkour + Post-apocalyptic
Of 20 developers who shipped a Post-apocalyptic Parkour game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×4.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.1k, ×3.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $300; 1 in 20 cleared $100M, ×169991 the market median. Revenue is up 425% on the market; 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $298 (exactly $298) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) |
| Top 25% | $9.3k (exactly $9,337) |
| Top 5% | $107M (exactly $106,754,605) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 20 |
| Released games | 69 |
| Announced | 49 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 425% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.
Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Parkour
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Post-apocalyptic
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Parkour; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $59.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Atmospheric, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $59.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 65,346 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $300. 9 in 10 of the 11 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Parkour with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Precision PlatformerLong shot
- + MetroidvaniaPoor odds
- + SkateboardingPoor odds
- + SwordplayPoor odds
- + Hack and SlashPoor odds
- + Dark FantasyPoor odds
- + ModernPoor odds
- + CatsPoor odds
- + DestructionPoor odds
- + StealthPoor odds
Comparable games
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition 2022 · $297M 
Dying Light 2015 · $280M 
Dying Light: The Beast 2025 · $107M 
Sunset Overdrive 2018 · $7.2M 
Deadlight 2012 · $4.2M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition | older | $59.99 | 164,914 79% | 4.9M | $297M (exactly $296,795,726) | Techland |
| | Dying Light | older | $24.99 | 373,413 95% | 11M | $280M (exactly $279,947,726) | Techland |
| | Dying Light: The Beast | $59.99 | 59,318 87% | 1.8M | $107M (exactly $106,754,605) | Techland | |
| | Sunset Overdrive | older | $19.99 | 12,082 90% | 362k | $7.2M (exactly $7,245,575) | Insomniac Games, Blind Squirrel Games |
| | Deadlight | older | $14.99 | 9,386 78% | 282k | $4.2M (exactly $4,220,884) | Tequila Works, S.L. |
 | ENSLAVED™: Odyssey to the West™ Premium Edition | older | $19.99 | 5,789 86% | 174k | $3.5M (exactly $3,471,663) | Ninja Theory |
 | MOTORSLICE | $19.99 | 5,467 85% | 164k | $3.3M (exactly $3,278,560) | Regular Studio | |
 | GTTOD | · EA older | $29.99 | 3,010 87% | 90k | $2.7M (exactly $2,708,097) | Andrew Smith, STUDIO Bare Bones |
 | Submerged | older | $19.99 | 4,328 75% | 130k | $2.6M (exactly $2,595,502) | Uppercut Games Pty Ltd |
 | Seven: Enhanced Edition | older | $29.99 | 1,429 76% | 43k | $1.3M (exactly $1,285,671) | IMGN.PRO, Fool's Theory |
 | Steel Seed | $39.99 | 339 78% | 10k | $407k (exactly $406,698) | Storm in a Teacup | |
 | Smack Monkey | $9.99 | 32 100% | 960 | $9.6k (exactly $9,590) | DrDrub | |
 | WHITE CHOCOLATE | $3.99 | 78 94% | 2.3k | $9.3k (exactly $9,337) | Bakery of Games | |
 | Marrow Marrow | $13.99 | 20 100% | 600 | $8.4k (exactly $8,394) | Monster Moon | |
 | CROW | $9.99 | 27 85% | 810 | $8.1k (exactly $8,092) | Uniday Studio | |
 | ASHGARD: Infinity Mask | · EA | $9.99 | 13 84% | 390 | $3.9k (exactly $3,896) | ASHGARD GAMES |
 | DOSTAVKA | $2.99 | 38 92% | 1.1k | $3.4k (exactly $3,409) | SASHADEV, SASHA | |
 | Mechanical Fury - Prologue | $4.99 | 14 78% | 420 | $2.1k (exactly $2,096) | Avian Hearts |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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