Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Western

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Western Online Co-Op game?

Online Co-Op + Western

Only 19 developers shipped a Western Online Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Far Far West, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $18M, ×12594 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 29 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 29 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Western
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $43k → $2.7k → $779 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Western: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,697)
Top 25% $43k (exactly $43,171)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $18,865,363)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 36
Announced 29
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Western
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, PvE
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Comedy, Cute
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 33,743 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $43k, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 7 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hunt: Showdown 1896 older $29.99 213,023 74% 6.4M $192M (exactly $191,656,793) Crytek
Red Dead Online older $19.99 59,572 82% 1.8M $36M (exactly $35,725,328) Rockstar Games
Far Far West · EA $19.99 31,458 95% 944k $19M (exactly $18,865,363) Evil Raptor
Evil West older $49.99 10,215 74% 306k $15M (exactly $15,319,436) Flying Wild Hog
Last Train Outta' Wormtown $11.99 1,453 96% 44k $523k (exactly $522,644) Get(Color) Games
West Hunt older $9.99 1,522 84% 46k $456k (exactly $456,143) NewGen
Wild Indigo Ranch $19.99 424 68% 13k $254k (exactly $254,273) Funday Games
Desperados 2: Cooper's Revenge older $9.99 261 50% 7.8k $78k (exactly $78,222) Spellbound
Western Rye · EA $21.99 104 53% 3.1k $69k (exactly $68,609) Nixalon Studios
Cowbots and Aliens older $19.99 90 82% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) Wizard Games Inc, Chicken Waffle
Cowboy 3030 $14.99 96 87% 2.9k $43k (exactly $43,171) Soy Boy Games
Trail & Error · EA $7.99 107 70% 3.2k $26k (exactly $25,648) Oberha5li Studios
Altarium $9.99 58 53% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,383) Metavision Studio
Arcane Wilds · EA $17.99 13 76% 390 $7.0k (exactly $7,016) Avancadia
Rhyolite $9.99 21 100% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Long Lost
DEMONOLITION $9.99 9 77% 270 $2.7k (exactly $2,697) HEX512

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.