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Should I ship an Underground Online Co-Op game?
Online Co-Op + Underground
Of 23 developers who shipped an Underground Online Co-Op game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 49 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $2.8k, ×1.8 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $810; 1 in 20 cleared $400k, ×272 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 49 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $807 (exactly $807) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.8k (exactly $2,753) |
| Top 25% | $17k (exactly $17,365) |
| Top 5% | $407k (exactly $407,428) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 49 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
- Underground
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Online Co-Op; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Action, Adventure
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
- Art
- 6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, First-Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 84% positive over 4,846 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $810. 6 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 49 games are announced against 15 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Online Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Bullet HeavenStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + TypingFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Watch Dogs®: Legion | older | $59.99 | 11,891 56% | 357k | $21M (exactly $21,400,233) | Ubisoft Toronto |
| | Last Train Outta' Wormtown | $11.99 | 1,453 96% | 44k | $523k (exactly $522,644) | Get(Color) Games | |
| | Dirty Business | · EA | $14.99 | 906 75% | 27k | $407k (exactly $407,428) | Plan Dirty Games |
| | Mining Mechs | older | $2.99 | 2,577 89% | 77k | $231k (exactly $231,157) | Delayed Victory |
| | Super Mining Mechs | $4.99 | 841 86% | 25k | $126k (exactly $125,898) | Delayed Victory | |
| | Mining Merchant | $6.99 | 410 88% | 12k | $86k (exactly $85,977) | Delayed Victory | |
| | iDigging | $2.99 | 729 69% | 22k | $65k (exactly $65,391) | TWEN | |
| | THE CANON OF BALLS | $3.99 | 287 98% | 8.6k | $34k (exactly $34,354) | Helios Monk | |
| | IT Simulator | older | $4.99 | 141 90% | 4.2k | $21k (exactly $21,108) | Bad Byte Games |
| | Stretcher Together | $4.99 | 116 47% | 3.5k | $17k (exactly $17,365) | Goosix Games | |
| | WHITE CHOCOLATE | $3.99 | 78 94% | 2.3k | $9.3k (exactly $9,337) | Bakery of Games | |
| | Elsewhere Electric | $24.99 | 11 27% | 330 | $8.2k (exactly $8,247) | Games by Stitch | |
| | Metrogether Train Simulator | $17.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $8.1k (exactly $8,095) | camelCase Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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