Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Trading

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Trading game?

Online Co-Op + Trading

Of 23 developers who shipped a paid Online Co-Op Trading game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 in 10 of the games here are free to play and sit outside these figures. 84 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $47k, ×31 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $6.8k; 1 in 20 cleared $2.8M, ×1935 the market median. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 84 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 31.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 84 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Trading
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $217k → $47k → $2.9M → $85k (still earning) → $14k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Trading: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Median $47k (exactly $46,528)
Top 25% $718k (exactly $717,631)
Top 5% $2.9M (exactly $2,898,340)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 71
Announced 84
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 45%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Trading
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Trading; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Immersive Sim, Simulation, Management
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 74% positive over 45,038 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $6.8k, median $47k, 1 in 4 over $710k, 1 in 20 over $2.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $6.8k. 4 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 84 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
NBA 2K25 older $69.99 30,969 60% 929k $65M (exactly $65,025,609) Visual Concepts
NBA 2K26 $69.99 25,651 66% 770k $54M (exactly $53,859,405) Visual Concepts
Elite Dangerous older $19.99 82,399 76% 2.5M $49M (exactly $49,414,680) Frontier Developments
Ranch Simulator: Build, Hunt, Farm older $24.99 40,862 79% 1.2M $31M (exactly $30,634,241) Toxic Dog
Anno 2070™ older $19.99 11,571 59% 347k $6.9M (exactly $6,939,129) Blue Byte, Related Designs
Storage Hunter Simulator $24.99 3,866 78% 116k $2.9M (exactly $2,898,340) Raccoons Studio
My Garage $19.99 4,010 90% 120k $2.4M (exactly $2,404,797) Viking Game Studio
Roadside Research · EA $14.99 3,991 85% 120k $1.8M (exactly $1,794,753) Cybernetic Walrus
Old Market Simulator $9.99 4,333 87% 130k $1.3M (exactly $1,298,600) Alcedo Games
Bookshop Simulator $15.99 1,496 92% 45k $718k (exactly $717,631) Blep Games
Tobacco Shop Simulator $11.99 826 89% 25k $297k (exactly $297,112) Business Tycoon
Parisian Bistro Simulator · EA $19.99 429 93% 13k $257k (exactly $257,271) Quark Studios
GeckoShop $9.99 342 66% 10k $102k (exactly $102,497) Reptoid
Monopoly: Star Wars™ Heroes vs. Villains $29.99 94 39% 2.8k $85k (exactly $84,572) Behaviour Interactive Inc.

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.