Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Steampunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Steampunk Online Co-Op game?

Online Co-Op + Steampunk

Only 13 developers shipped a Steampunk Online Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, SAND: Raiders of Sophie, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 35 more are announced, ×3.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $600, ×0.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 35 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper, while revenue is down 100% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.4 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 35 announced, ×3.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Steampunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.1k → $6.3k → $31k (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Steampunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $599 (exactly $599)
Top 25% $31k (exactly $31,479)
Top 5% $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 39
Announced 35
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 235% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Steampunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Character Customization, Co-op
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 9 games average 60% positive over 18,440 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $600, 1 in 4 over $31k, 1 in 20 over $9.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 35 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Torchlight II older $19.99 33,094 92% 993k $20M (exactly $19,846,472) Runic Games
Torchlight III older $39.99 10,401 47% 312k $12M (exactly $12,478,080) Echtra Inc.
Iron Harvest older $29.99 11,682 74% 350k $11M (exactly $10,510,295) KING Art
SAND: Raiders of Sophie · EA $24.99 12,485 49% 375k $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) Hologryph, TowerHaus
Volcanoids · EA older $19.99 7,679 83% 230k $4.6M (exactly $4,605,096) Volcanoid
Abyssus $24.99 5,014 84% 150k $3.8M (exactly $3,758,996) DoubleMoose Games
We Need To Go Deeper older $15.99 4,652 86% 140k $2.2M (exactly $2,231,564) Deli Interactive LLC
Victor Vran ARPG older $19.99 3,708 84% 111k $2.2M (exactly $2,223,688) Haemimont Games
Guns of Icarus Online older $4.99 8,245 91% 247k $1.2M (exactly $1,234,276) Muse Games
Deathtrap older $19.99 1,858 84% 56k $1.1M (exactly $1,114,243) NeocoreGames
Super Mining Mechs $4.99 841 86% 25k $126k (exactly $125,898) Delayed Victory
The Last Citadel $14.99 70 85% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,479) Honest Demon
Rhyolite $9.99 21 100% 630 $6.3k (exactly $6,294) Long Lost
The Great Smog · EA $12.99 2 50% 60 $779 (exactly $779) JFi Games
GYROPIA $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Farkas Interactive
Drill Crew · EA $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Renvati Games
Steampunks 1869 $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) Archor Wright
Breeze of Ashes $12.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Chocolate Ship Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.