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Should I ship an Online Co-Op Spectacle fighter?
Online Co-Op + Spectacle fighter
Of 24 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Spectacle fighter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 28 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $4.1k, ×2.7 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $1.4M, ×946 the market median. Revenue is down 45% on the market; 28 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $359 (exactly $359) |
|---|---|
| Median | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) |
| Top 25% | $95k (exactly $94,710) |
| Top 5% | $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 24 |
| Released games | 72 |
| Announced | 28 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 45% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 22%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
- Spectacle fighter
- effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Online Co-Op, Spectacle fighter; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action RPG, Adventure
- Price point
- $7.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Anime, Cinematic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.
The top 10 games average 85% positive over 8,150 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $360. 6 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 28 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Bullet HeavenStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + TypingFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Granblue Fantasy: Relink | older | $39.99 | 41,227 89% | 1.2M | $49M (exactly $49,460,032) | Cygames, Inc. |
| | Tribes of Midgard | older | $19.99 | 17,465 76% | 524k | $10M (exactly $10,473,760) | Norsfell |
| | RWBY: Grimm Eclipse | older | $19.99 | 9,834 81% | 295k | $5.9M (exactly $5,897,450) | Rooster Teeth Games, FarBridge |
| | Demon Slayer -Kimetsu no Yaiba- The Hinokami Chronicles 2 | $59.99 | 2,879 83% | 86k | $5.2M (exactly $5,181,336) | CyberConnect2 | |
| | STRANGER OF PARADISE FINAL FANTASY ORIGIN | older | $39.99 | 3,735 82% | 112k | $4.5M (exactly $4,480,880) | Square Enix, KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | ERA ONE | · EA | $29.99 | 1,575 86% | 47k | $1.4M (exactly $1,417,028) | Team Complex LTD |
| | MEGATON MUSASHI W: WIRED | older | $49.99 | 688 78% | 21k | $1.0M (exactly $1,031,794) | LEVEL5 Inc. |
| | SpellForce 3 Fallen God | older | $19.99 | 1,335 86% | 40k | $801k (exactly $800,599) | Grimlore Games |
| | SAMURAI WARRIORS 4 DX | older | $49.99 | 475 85% | 14k | $712k (exactly $712,358) | KOEI TECMO GAMES CO., LTD. |
| | LIZARDS MUST DIE 2 | $9.99 | 2,232 94% | 67k | $669k (exactly $668,930) | the Bratans, Smola Game Studio | |
| | GODBREAKERS | $19.99 | 813 70% | 24k | $488k (exactly $487,556) | To The Sky | |
| | Utawarerumono: ZAN 2 | $39.99 | 88 82% | 2.6k | $106k (exactly $105,574) | AQUAPLUS | |
| | Kings of Hell | · EA | $20.50 | 154 91% | 4.6k | $95k (exactly $94,710) | StrawberryOctopus Productions |
| | River City Saga: Three Kingdoms Next | $29.99 | 37 62% | 1.1k | $33k (exactly $33,289) | Arc System Works | |
| | 异世界生存指南 | $3.99 | 238 76% | 7.1k | $28k (exactly $28,489) | 全自动花花 | |
| | Super Shout Showdown | · EA | $7.99 | 111 83% | 3.3k | $27k (exactly $26,607) | Rezero Studio |
| | VEX MAGE | $9.99 | 23 95% | 690 | $6.9k (exactly $6,893) | Nervous Systems |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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