Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Shoot 'Em Up

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Shoot 'Em Up?

Online Co-Op + Shoot 'Em Up

Of 51 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Shoot 'Em Up in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 83 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $120. 83 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper, while revenue is down 55% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 83 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Shoot 'Em Up
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 51
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $119 → $63k → $3.1k → $599 → $1.8k → $360 → $802 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Shoot 'Em Up: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 51
Bottom 30% $120 (exactly $120)
Median $449 (exactly $449)
Top 25% $4.2k (exactly $4,196)
Top 5% $83k (exactly $83,217)
Developers, 2 yr 51
Released games 155
Announced 83
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 55% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 15%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Shoot 'Em Up
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Shoot 'Em Up; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, PvE
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 1,950 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $120, median $450, 1 in 4 over $4.1k, 1 in 20 over $83k.

3 in 10 developers made under $120. 9 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 83 games are announced against 31 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
PAYDAY 3 older $29.99 49,305 45% 1.5M $44M (exactly $44,359,708) Starbreeze Studios
Raw Data older $39.99 2,036 81% 61k $2.4M (exactly $2,442,589) Survios
HUNTDOWN older $19.99 4,059 94% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,434,182) Easy Trigger Games
Guns, Gore and Cannoli 2 older $12.99 4,742 94% 142k $1.8M (exactly $1,847,957) Rogueside, Claeysbrothers
METAL SLUG 3 older $7.99 6,976 90% 209k $1.7M (exactly $1,672,147) SNK CORPORATION, Dotemu
Apocalypse Party older $9.99 4,658 72% 140k $1.4M (exactly $1,396,003) Breaker Games
Alien Hominid Invasion older $19.99 1,572 88% 47k $943k (exactly $942,728) The Behemoth
Mercenary Kings: Reloaded Edition older $19.99 1,192 74% 36k $715k (exactly $714,842) Tribute Games Inc.
Renegade Ops older $15.00 1,005 85% 30k $452k (exactly $452,250) Avalanche Studios
GIBZ older $5.99 1,321 88% 40k $237k (exactly $237,384) Torrunt
Ultimate Zombie Defense 2 $9.99 589 76% 18k $177k (exactly $176,523) Terror Dog Studio
Warden's Will $14.99 304 70% 9.1k $137k (exactly $136,709) ELYZIO
MARVEL MaXimum Collection $24.99 111 76% 3.3k $83k (exactly $83,217) Limited Run Games
The Horde Wants You Dead $9.99 270 64% 8.1k $81k (exactly $80,919) Bellyflop Games
Broventure: The Wild Co-op $4.99 398 72% 12k $60k (exactly $59,581) Alice Games
Kritter: Defend Together $9.99 109 86% 3.3k $33k (exactly $32,667) LJF Games
Beach Invasion 1915-Gallipoli $7.99 73 71% 2.2k $17k (exactly $17,498) AIx2 Games
Hatters · EA $9.99 35 85% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Moon
Assault On Proxima $9.99 32 81% 960 $9.6k (exactly $9,590) Delta Video Games
MAGE: Mega Awesome Gregarious Encounters $9.99 29 89% 870 $8.7k (exactly $8,691) FunRug Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.