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Should I ship an Online Co-Op Sailing game?
Online Co-Op + Sailing
Only 13 developers shipped an Online Co-Op Sailing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Windrose, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 42 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $6.6k, ×4.4 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.7k; 1 in 20 cleared $43M, ×28765 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 42 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) |
|---|---|
| Median | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) |
| Top 25% | $356k (exactly $356,108) |
| Top 5% | $43M (exactly $43,089,332) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 42 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 34%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
- Sailing
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Online Co-Op, Sailing
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 86% positive over 54,251 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.7k. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 42 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Bullet HeavenStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + TypingFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
Comparable games
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition 2020 · $386M 
Windrose 2026 · EA · $43M 
ATLAS 2018 · EA · $33M 
Skull and Bones 2024 · $4.2M 
Ships At Sea 2024 · EA · $1.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition | older | $39.99 | 322,072 88% | 9.7M | $386M (exactly $386,389,778) | Rare Ltd |
| | Windrose | · EA | $29.99 | 47,893 86% | 1.4M | $43M (exactly $43,089,332) | Kraken Express |
| | ATLAS | · EA older | $29.99 | 37,119 46% | 1.1M | $33M (exactly $33,395,964) | Grapeshot Games, Instinct Games |
| | Skull and Bones | older | $29.99 | 4,650 65% | 140k | $4.2M (exactly $4,183,605) | Ubisoft Singapore |
| | Ships At Sea | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,479 69% | 74k | $1.9M (exactly $1,858,506) | Misc Games |
 | Voyagers of Nera | · EA | $29.99 | 2,022 83% | 61k | $1.8M (exactly $1,819,193) | Treehouse Games |
 | Finnish Cottage Simulator | · EA | $14.99 | 3,396 93% | 102k | $1.5M (exactly $1,527,181) | RANELA GAMES |
 | Forgotten Seas | $24.99 | 475 75% | 14k | $356k (exactly $356,108) | Pangea Game Studios | |
 | Trash Sailors: Co-Op Trash Raft Simulator | older | $19.99 | 187 67% | 5.6k | $112k (exactly $112,144) | fluckyMachine |
 | Stowaway | · EA older | $4.99 | 428 74% | 13k | $64k (exactly $64,072) | Sandstorm Studios Inc. |
 | Boat Together | $4.99 | 364 76% | 11k | $54k (exactly $54,491) | Beaked Games | |
 | The Pirate: Republic of Nassau | $19.99 | 25 68% | 750 | $15k (exactly $14,992) | Home Net Games | |
 | Tidewrack | $9.99 | 22 68% | 660 | $6.6k (exactly $6,593) | OverLKD Studio | |
 | Dockside Dreams – Fish & Cook Simulator | $7.99 | 22 59% | 660 | $5.3k (exactly $5,273) | C51 Games | |
 | Calm Horizon | $5.99 | 24 83% | 720 | $4.3k (exactly $4,313) | 烟熏渔 | |
 | Open Fishing 2 | $6.99 | 8 62% | 240 | $1.7k (exactly $1,678) | Kunstaat |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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