Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Romance

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Romance Online Co-Op game?

Online Co-Op + Romance

Only 8 developers shipped a Romance Online Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Le Mans Ultimate, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 14 more are announced, ×4.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.

Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $17k against a market of $1.5k. 14 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 11.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 14 announced, ×4.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Romance
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 8

not enough cohorts to draw

Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Romance: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 8
Bottom 30% $1.5k (exactly $1,497)
Median $17k (exactly $16,766)
Top 25% $467k (exactly $466,748)
Top 5% $18M (exactly $18,077,080)
Developers, 2 yr 8
Released games 31
Announced 14
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 40% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 29%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Romance
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op
Price point
$6.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 96% positive over 783,661 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.5k, median $17k, 1 in 4 over $460k, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 2 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 14 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Baldur's Gate 3 older $59.99 755,010 96% 23M $1.4B (exactly $1,358,791,497) Larian Studios
Le Mans Ultimate $39.99 15,068 79% 452k $18M (exactly $18,077,080) Studio 397
Roots of Pacha older $24.99 3,779 93% 113k $2.8M (exactly $2,833,116) Soda Den
Mass Effect™ 3 N7 Digital Deluxe Edition (2012) older $29.99 2,135 75% 64k $1.9M (exactly $1,920,860) BioWare
Monster Prom 2: Monster Camp older $11.99 4,994 97% 150k $1.8M (exactly $1,796,342) Beautiful Glitch
Degrees of Separation older $19.99 1,011 80% 30k $606k (exactly $606,297) Moondrop
Love Begins With Goodbye $15.99 973 94% 29k $467k (exactly $466,748) 大王工作室, 框嗒网络
Astatos · EA older $14.99 298 82% 8.9k $134k (exactly $134,011) Studio Klondike Australia
Lessons with Chii-chan older $19.99 157 63% 4.7k $94k (exactly $94,153) Orcsoft
Sex With Friends $4.99 236 94% 7.1k $35k (exactly $35,329) B-Team
Puppet Team $4.99 112 64% 3.4k $17k (exactly $16,766) Editmode
School Crisis $6.99 30 93% 900 $6.3k (exactly $6,291) Phumi Dev
Beguile $4.99 10 100% 300 $1.5k (exactly $1,497) coeda
Girls Kitchen Dinner $6.99 4 0% 120 $839 (exactly $839) HKGamesSTUDIOS
BL Werewolf:Doki-Doki Summer vacation $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) 物部モノ子, 星守れんげ

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.