Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Puzzle

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Online Co-Op Puzzle game?

Online Co-Op + Puzzle

Of 254 developers who shipped an Online Co-Op Puzzle game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 434 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×1.3 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $480; 1 in 20 cleared $580k, ×387 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 434 games are announced against 161 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 434 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Puzzle
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 254
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $7.0k → $83k → $5.7k → $6.6k → $2.4k → $4.7k → $1.6k (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Puzzle: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 254
Bottom 30% $475 (exactly $475)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,946)
Top 25% $16k (exactly $15,740)
Top 5% $580k (exactly $580,314)
Developers, 2 yr 254
Released games 626
Announced 434
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Puzzle
effort 2 / 10 · high · discrete rules, levels are data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op, Puzzle; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Co-op, Adventure, Exploration
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 106,811 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $480, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $15k, 1 in 20 over $580k.

3 in 10 developers made under $480. 7 in 10 of the 119 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 434 games are announced against 161 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
It Takes Two older $39.99 218,492 95% 6.6M $262M (exactly $262,124,852) Hazelight Studios
Teardown older $29.99 126,563 95% 3.8M $114M (exactly $113,868,731) Tuxedo Labs
LEGO® Star Wars™: The Skywalker Saga older $49.99 38,294 90% 1.1M $57M (exactly $57,429,512) TT Games
BattleBlock Theater® older $14.99 55,793 97% 1.7M $25M (exactly $25,090,112) The Behemoth
DEVOUR older $9.99 68,664 90% 2.1M $21M (exactly $20,578,601) Straight Back Games
REANIMAL $39.99 13,809 78% 414k $17M (exactly $16,566,657) Tarsier Studios
The Escapists 2 older $19.99 26,452 90% 794k $16M (exactly $15,863,264) Team17, Mouldy Toof Studios
LEGO® Marvel™ Super Heroes older $19.99 22,663 95% 680k $14M (exactly $13,591,001) Traveller's Tales
Backrooms: Escape Together · EA older $9.99 42,276 88% 1.3M $13M (exactly $12,670,117) Triiodide Studios
Strange Brigade older $49.99 8,309 84% 249k $12M (exactly $12,461,007) Rebellion
Little Nightmares III $39.99 10,165 46% 305k $12M (exactly $12,194,950) Supermassive Games
Liar's Bar · EA $6.99 48,708 89% 1.5M $10M (exactly $10,214,068) Curve Animation
Ghost Watchers $14.99 12,729 86% 382k $5.7M (exactly $5,724,231) Renderise
Cat Mail Co. $14.99 6,289 92% 189k $2.8M (exactly $2,828,163) Maracas Studio
Escape Simulator 2 $19.99 4,292 92% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,573,912) Pine Studio
Revenge of the Savage Planet $29.99 2,845 86% 85k $2.6M (exactly $2,559,646) Raccoon Logic Studios Inc.
POPUCOM $19.99 3,432 87% 103k $2.1M (exactly $2,058,170) Hypergryph
LEGO® Voyagers $24.99 1,859 88% 56k $1.4M (exactly $1,393,692) Light Brick Studio
Emissary Zero $8.99 2,683 83% 80k $724k (exactly $723,605) Rone Vine

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.