Do I ship it?

GamesOnline Co-OpOnline Co-Op + Pirates

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Pirate Online Co-Op game?

Online Co-Op + Pirates

Only 11 developers shipped a Pirate Online Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Windrose, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×6.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $77k, ×51 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $14k; 1 in 20 cleared $43M, ×28765 the market median. Revenue is up 133325% on the market; 50 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 51.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 133325% on the market, 50 announced, ×6.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Online Co-Op + Pirates
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.8M → $1.6k → $14k → $9.4M (still earning) → $78k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Online Co-Op + Pirates: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $14k (exactly $13,640)
Median $77k (exactly $76,944)
Top 25% $2.8M (exactly $2,795,368)
Top 5% $43M (exactly $43,089,332)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 38
Announced 50
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $12.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 133325% on the market, supply 165% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Online Co-Op
effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
Pirates
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Online Co-Op
Price point
$12.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 78% positive over 64,673 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $14k, median $77k, 1 in 4 over $2.7M, 1 in 20 over $43M.

3 in 10 developers made under $14k. 6 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Online Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Bullet HeavenStrong odds27 devs · median $9.3k · 38 announced
  2. + Escape RoomFair31 devs · median $14k · 32 announced
  3. + TypingFair16 devs · median $5.0k · 12 announced
  4. + GamblingFair22 devs · median $4.4k · 34 announced
  5. + Point & ClickFair28 devs · median $1.7k · 34 announced
  6. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  7. + TransportationPoor odds14 devs · median $369k · 25 announced
  8. + JRPGPoor odds11 devs · median $346k · 16 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds72 devs · median $217k · 139 announced
  10. + World War IIPoor odds10 devs · median $188k · 18 announced
  11. + City BuilderPoor odds32 devs · median $118k · 55 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds20 devs · median $95k · 18 announced

All 211 pairs on the Online Co-Op page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition older $39.99 322,072 88% 9.7M $386M (exactly $386,389,778) Rare Ltd
Windrose · EA $29.99 47,893 86% 1.4M $43M (exactly $43,089,332) Kraken Express
ATLAS · EA older $29.99 37,119 46% 1.1M $33M (exactly $33,395,964) Grapeshot Games, Instinct Games
ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4 older $39.99 17,281 91% 518k $21M (exactly $20,732,016) Koei Tecmo
SAND: Raiders of Sophie · EA $24.99 12,485 49% 375k $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) Hologryph, TowerHaus
Skull and Bones older $29.99 4,650 65% 140k $4.2M (exactly $4,183,605) Ubisoft Singapore
Blazing Sails older $14.99 8,361 87% 251k $3.8M (exactly $3,759,942) Get Up Games, Iceberg Interactive
The Mound: Omen of Cthulhu $29.99 3,107 69% 93k $2.8M (exactly $2,795,368) ACE Team
LEGO® Pirates of the Caribbean: The Video Game older $19.99 3,564 90% 107k $2.1M (exactly $2,137,331) Traveller's Tales
Forgotten Seas $24.99 475 75% 14k $356k (exactly $356,108) Pangea Game Studios
Last Pirates: Die Together · EA $7.99 325 76% 9.8k $78k (exactly $77,902) RetroStyle Games
Dig, Dig, Die $7.99 321 64% 9.6k $77k (exactly $76,944) Alice Games
The Pirate: Republic of Nassau $19.99 25 68% 750 $15k (exactly $14,992) Home Net Games
hololive GoroGoro Mountain $12.99 35 77% 1.1k $14k (exactly $13,640) BeXide Inc.
Nightmariners $4.49 5 80% 150 $674 (exactly $674) Ocean's Call Studios
Blackbeard's Treasure $7.99 2 100% 60 $479 (exactly $479) SAT-BOX

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.